Oct 10, 2026 · 1h 11m
Fantasy managers weigh injuries, probabilities and Week Five edges
The Show: Dallas Struggles, Going for 2, and More
The episode connects uncertain player health, waiver planning and game-theory decisions to the practical choices shaping fantasy lineups.
- 1Injury uncertainty makes trade value and replacement options as important as a player’s projected production.
- 2The hosts use probability and game theory to explain why trailing teams may choose a two-point attempt.
- 3Week Five rankings, bold calls and Week Six waiver targets identify specific opportunities across every major fantasy position.
Don't miss
JJ explains the probability and game-theory logic behind attempting two points while trailing by eight, defending analytics against social-media criticism.
The brief
JJ and Kitchen open with recent fantasy results, CeeDee Lamb and the growing workload behind the show’s weekly data, then turn to injuries reshaping the week.
The injury discussion spans quarterbacks, running backs and receivers, with the hosts weighing uncertain recovery timelines against trade value and possible beneficiaries.
The episode’s clearest argument arrives in the going-for-two segment: probability and game theory can make a sound decision look wrong when judged only by the outcome.
JJ’s above-consensus rankings center on Sam Darnold, Will Shipley, Roman Wilson and T.J. Hockenson, while bold predictions test volume, matchups and regression.
The show closes with Week Six waiver targets and four games to watch, including Bills-Rams, Lions-Cardinals, 49ers-Seahawks and Bears-Packers.