First Things First
First Things First

Sep 3, 2026 · 2h 15m

Quarterback pressure reshapes NFL predictions

AFC South, NFC South, and OROY predictions, BUD List, How confident should the Ravens and Lamar be?

The episode tests which quarterbacks can meet heightened expectations while revising division, playoff, and award forecasts.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1Brock Purdy, Lamar Jackson, and Jalen Hurts face different versions of the same question: can results validate their quarterback standing?
  2. 2The AFC and NFC South predictions expose uncertainty around coaching, defensive regression, quarterback development, and playoff depth.
  3. 3Kansas City’s outlook hinges on Patrick Mahomes’ return, roster concerns, and whether the Chiefs remain a reliable postseason bet.

Don't miss

The hosts reveal that their playoff predictions accidentally include too many NFC teams and debate which selection must be removed.

The brief

Brock Purdy’s contract, playoff record, efficiency, interceptions, and health frame a broader question: how much pressure can a quarterback absorb before San Francisco reconsiders its plan?

Lamar Jackson’s redesigned Ravens offense fuels an MVP debate, with the hosts weighing his schedule, supporting cast, receiving corps, and the possibility of a 13-win season.

The Bud List puts C.J. Stroud, Kyler Murray, and Justin Herbert under scrutiny, linking their contracts and career trajectories to the breakthrough seasons their teams expect.

AFC and NFC South predictions turn on quarterback development, coaching, defensive regression, and whether either division can send multiple teams to the playoffs.

The standout twist arrives when the hosts discover their playoff forecast includes too many NFC teams, forcing a public reckoning with the prediction process.

The episode closes by revisiting Patrick Mahomes’ return, Jalen Hurts’ uneven evaluation, the Giants’ Jackson Dart outlook, and Cincinnati’s Super Bowl ambitions.

Listen to the full episode and explore every guest, topic, and moment on PodLume.