Verdict with Ted Cruz
Verdict with Ted Cruz

Sep 8, 2026 · 17 min

Texas Senate race becomes a test of Republican control

BONUS POD: "Stay Home and We Lose" Trump’s Message to Republicans on November Showdown

MAGA Inc.’s planned $10 million investment in Texas puts a closely watched Senate contest inside Donald Trump’s broader midterm strategy.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1Donald Trump is pressing Republicans to retain Congress while confronting the historical difficulty of midterm elections for the president’s party.
  2. 2MAGA Inc. plans to spend at least $10 million supporting Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico in Texas.
  3. 3The super PAC’s advertising centers the race on taxes, health care, affordability, and the possibility of determining Senate control.

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The episode analyzes MAGA Inc.’s Texas advertisements, which attack James Talarico on taxes and health care while promoting Ken Paxton’s affordability proposals.

The brief

The 47 Morning Update opens with two linked questions: whether Republicans can hold Congress in the midterms and how MAGA Inc. will intervene in Texas’s Senate race.

Donald Trump’s Labor Day message urges Republicans to turn out, while a planned Republican midterm convention in Dallas underscores the party’s effort to defend the administration’s agenda.

The Texas contest pits Republican Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico, with MAGA Inc. committing at least $10 million as outside spending reaches historic levels.

The super PAC’s ads attack Talarico on taxes and health care while presenting Paxton’s affordability proposals, framing the race around the economy and household costs.

The episode’s central stake is national: the Texas result could help determine Senate control, giving Trump’s spending plans a direct test in a major state.

Books & mentions

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