The Bulwark Daily
The Bulwark Daily

Sep 28, 2026 · 1h 3m

Listen from 13:22

Listen at 13:22

Bulwark hosts link government overreach to Democratic momentum

Bill Kristol: They're F*cking Thieves

The episode connects legal defiance, economic and defense-policy credibility, and the treatment of Haitian immigrants to the stakes of coalition-building before 2026.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1The hosts argue that sweeping spending cancellations test legal limits while exposing Republicans to political backlash.
  2. 2Economic warning signs and disputed defense disclosures deepen concerns about the administration’s credibility at home and abroad.
  3. 3An Ohio fundraiser for Haitian community support becomes a case study in moral responsibility and Democratic coalition-building.

Don't miss

The Ohio fundraiser raises more than $300,000 for a Haitian community support center, turning political concern into direct local solidarity.

The brief

Tim Miller and Bill Kristol open by comparing taxpayer-funded government messaging with campaign propaganda, framing the administration’s communication style as an institutional warning.

They argue that sweeping spending cancellations disregard legal constraints, while rising bond yields, affordability concerns, and disputed defense disclosures threaten the administration’s credibility.

The hosts assess Democratic momentum toward 2026, including regional variation and vulnerable Republican seats, before turning to Trump’s China summit and the politics of AI.

Their Ohio events raised more than $300,000 for a Haitian community support center, highlighting the fear created by political smears, enforcement, and uncertainty over TPS.

Patrick Gaspard links Haitian solidarity to broader coalition-building, arguing that political disagreements should not erase grace, shared responsibility, or defense of vulnerable communities.

What was said on this episode

23 statements · 9 positive · 12 negative · 2 neutral

  1. Bill Crystalon Orbán government propagandaNegative3:25

    Orbán used taxpayer-funded government announcements to present political advertising.

    “there were massive amounts of Orbán ads masquerading as government service announcements and paid for by the taxpayers of Hungary”

    Listen at 3:25

  2. Bill Crystalon U.S. appropriations lawNegative5:43

    U.S. appropriations law prohibits government funds for personal political propaganda.

    “There's an actual law that specifies no use appropriations in every year's appropriations bill, no use of government funds for personal political propaganda.”

    Listen at 5:43

  3. Bill Crystalon Trump administration rescissionsNegative8:51

    The administration uses rescissions against disliked programs to demonstrate power, rather than cooperatively save money.

    “it's supposed to be a cooperative thing with Congress to save a little bit of money, and instead they're just doing it to programs they don't like to show that they can do it.”

    Listen at 8:51

  4. Bill Crystalon 2026 Democratic electoral wavePositive11:00

    The 2026 Democratic electoral wave is large and places many states in play.

    “I do think it's a big wave. And a lot of states are in play.”

    Listen at 11:00

  5. Tim Milleron 10-year bond yieldNegative11:26

    The 10-year bond yield has reached its highest level in two decades.

    “the 10-year bond yield is the highest it's been in 2 decades”

    Listen at 11:26

  6. Bill Crystalon Defense DepartmentNegative13:15

    The Defense Department continues routinely misleading the public.

    “they continue to lie routinely, right, at the Defense Department.”

    Listen at 13:15

  7. Bill Crystalon 2026 generic congressional ballotNeutral17:26

    The generic ballot represents a ten-point shift from the 2024 election.

    “So +8 is really a 10-point shift.”

    Listen at 17:26

  8. Bill Crystalon 2026 Democratic electoral wavePositive18:06

    The Democratic electoral wave is stronger in Republican-leaning states.

    “The wave is stronger in red states.”

    Listen at 18:06

  9. Bill Crystalon 2026 Idaho Senate raceNeutral21:14

    Polling shows Idaho’s Senate race between Jim Risch and Todd Ilyes is essentially tied.

    “And there's polling that shows the race basically even.”

    Listen at 21:14

  10. Tim Milleron 2026 Colorado 5th District racePositive26:14

    Jessica Killen will defeat Jeff Crank in Colorado’s fifth district.

    “Colorado 5, Jessica Killer. Over Jeff Crank.”

    Listen at 26:14

  11. The term “superintelligence” evokes uncontrolled artificial intelligence and may alarm people.

    “Superintelligence is a little scary, isn't it? I mean, don't we associate that with kind of like out of control?”

    Listen at 30:52

  12. Tim Milleron AI boosters in the tech worldNegative31:11

    AI boosters in the tech world are out of touch with public reactions to AI.

    “I do think that they're out of touch with how like people are processing all this.”

    Listen at 31:11

  13. Bill Crystalon AI safety governancePositive34:18

    A responsible government should pause dangerous AI development and review its risks with companies.

    “If we had a normal government that had set up a very high-quality commission and was doing some pausing some stuff and, and working with the companies to pause them most dangerous stuff and to check a few things for now”

    Listen at 34:18

  14. Bill Crystalon AI policy under the Trump administrationPositive34:55

    An irresponsible administration should adopt more cautious AI policies.

    “you need to err more on the other side”

    Listen at 34:55

  15. Bill Crystalon International AI coordinationPositive35:30

    International coordination can help prevent dangerous AI systems from spreading beyond control.

    “it's kind of good to have— to be able to stop some of these things from spreading, you know, without— beyond our control”

    Listen at 35:30

  16. Bill Crystalon Trump administration AI-generated luxury imageryNegative36:31

    Luxury AI-generated imagery is politically unwise before an election amid affordability concerns.

    “is that really wise politically 5 weeks before an election when people are extremely upset about affordability and stuff?”

    Listen at 36:31

  17. Bill Crystalon Trump administration Haitian immigration policyNegative39:06

    The Trump administration’s treatment of Haitian families is irrationally cruel and unjust.

    “the degree of the irrational cruelty and sort of just pointless injustice of the whole thing”

    Listen at 39:06

  18. Bill Crystalon Trump administration remigration policyNegative43:49

    The administration uses fear to encourage Haitians to self-deport or leave for Canada.

    “they are happy to terrify people because that might cause more people to self-deport or try to go to Canada.”

    Listen at 43:49

  19. Bill Crystalon United States migrant responseNegative48:02

    The United States is failing to adequately respond to migrants’ suffering.

    “we're not being good Samaritans”

    Listen at 48:02

  20. Patrick Gaspardon Deportation of TPS holdersNegative56:28

    Deporting TPS holders would remove essential workers from care and construction sectors.

    “what it looks like to deport TPS holders who are leading the way in providing care in home health agencies, in nursing homes and hospitals, and who are essential in construction sites in New York and Miami.”

    Listen at 56:28

  21. Patrick Gaspardon 2026 Democratic House outcomePositive58:41

    Democrats are more likely than not to win the House of Representatives.

    “It's more likely than not that we're going to win the House of Representatives.”

    Listen at 58:41

  22. Patrick Gaspardon 2026 Democratic Senate outcomePositive58:51

    Democrats have better-than-even odds of taking the Senate.

    “Democrats had a better than even shot of taking the US Senate as well”

    Listen at 58:51

  23. Patrick Gaspardon 2026 Ohio governor and Senate racesPositive58:59

    Democratic candidates will win Ohio’s governor and Senate races.

    “here in the governor's race and, uh, in the Senate race, uh, I think we're going to get over the top.”

    Listen at 58:59

Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.

Books & mentions

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