BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

Midterms Put Housing Policy and Tax Breaks in Play

Democrats Win the Midterms: What It Means for the Housing Market

Divided government could determine whether bipartisan housing proposals advance while major tax provisions approach their scheduled 2028 expiration.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1The 2026 midterms create a divided-government backdrop that could make housing affordability a rare area for bipartisan action.
  2. 2Proposals under discussion include capital-gains indexing, larger homeowner exemptions, ADU financing, and measures to reduce construction costs.
  3. 3The 2028 tax bill could preserve, revise, or allow several provisions from the 2025 legislation to expire.

Don't miss

Dave Meyer connects the 2028 tax bill to expiring deductions for tips, overtime, and seniors, framing the next major policy deadline.

The brief

Dave Meyer examines how the 2026 midterm results and divided government could reshape housing policy, real estate investing, affordability, and property taxes over the next two years.

The episode identifies housing affordability as a possible area for bipartisan action, including capital-gains indexing, expanded homeowner exemptions, ADU financing, and lower construction costs.

Attention then shifts to the 2028 tax bill, where provisions from the 2025 legislation—including deductions tied to tips, overtime, and seniors—are scheduled to expire.

The central tension is whether lawmakers preserve or revise those tax breaks while pursuing housing changes that could affect investors, homeowners, and construction economics.

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