Sep 15, 2026 · 24 min
Rate fears test market breadth as three stocks break out
Stocks Extend Losses As Market Prepares For Rate Hike: Guardant Health, Twilio, Sunoco In Focus
The episode weighs whether weakening breadth and rising rates can undermine emerging leadership in software, health care, and energy.
- 1Rising interest rates and oil prices pressure major indexes ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.
- 2Weakening breadth, distribution, and fragile support levels raise the stakes for disciplined position management.
- 3Guardant Health, Twilio, and Sunoco show pockets of leadership despite the broader market sell-off.
Don't miss
The discussion of Guardant Health’s heavy-volume breakout turns a difficult market into a practical test of patience, support, and position management.
The brief
Alissa Coram and Ken Shreve open with a broad sell-off driven by rising interest rates and oil prices, as investors brace for the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and possible volatility.
Their index review finds weakening breadth, distribution, and vulnerable support across the S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq, Russell 2000, and equal-weighted S&P 500 ETF.
Guardant Health’s breakout on heavy volume becomes the clearest lesson in position management: patience through base building, support at the 50-day line, and discipline during pullbacks.
Twilio’s sharp move above a trendline and prior pivot reflects broader software strength, while its cloud communications business and prominent customers provide the operating context.
Sunoco adds an energy counterpoint, breaking out within a strong refining group as oil prices surge and its fuel distribution and storage operations support an impressive growth profile.
What was said on this episode
23 statements · 9 positive · 10 negative · 1 mixed · 3 neutral
Markets indicate the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point tomorrow
“the market is widely telegraphing a quarter-point hike by the Fed tomorrow”
Listen at 2:11
Rising global interest rates are making markets more volatile
“money is getting expensive not only here but around the world as well. That's causing the markets to get a little bit jittery here.”
Listen at 2:53
The portfolio is currently 40% to 60% invested
“we're holding at kind of a 40% to 60% invested percentage here”
Listen at 3:07
The Nasdaq looks vulnerable but is still holding support
“seven distribution days is seven distribution days, and we pay attention when we see distribution in the indexes. looking a little vulnerable here, but holding support so far.”
Listen at 4:58
The Fed decision will produce market volatility
“we will see volatility”
Listen at 5:31
A Nasdaq break below recent lows could target 25,000 support
“if we do get a material break. below the recent lows, it seems like potentially the next support level to the downside could be around $25,000.”
Listen at 6:21
Investors should become more defensive after a material market break
“might want to get a little bit more defensive if we see that.”
Listen at 6:32
Investors could raise exposure after upside market fireworks
“there's a compelling case to be made for raising exposure”
Listen at 6:38
The Fed decision window will bring substantial volatility
“there'll be plenty of volatility”
Listen at 7:16
Investors should cut losing positions and reduce buying aggressiveness
“you're probably better off just cutting bait. taking the foot off the accelerator here”
Listen at 8:36
Market conditions have begun turning negative
“market tide does seem like it has started to flow a bit negative”
Listen at 8:45
The S&P 500 is slightly below its 50-day average without a severe breakdown
“S&P 500 is also in a similar position to the NASDAQ. It's slightly below the 50-day moving average, but it has not been a violent break.”
Listen at 9:16
52,000 is a key support level for the Dow
“52,000 obviously is a key support level”
Listen at 10:20
IWM’s next support level appears to be around 250
“250 looks like the next level to watch for IWM.”
Listen at 11:28
NYSE market breadth has been deteriorating
“breadth has been deteriorating on the NYSE”
Listen at 12:20
Guardant Health’s liquid biopsies detect cancer cells in blood
“they're known for their liquid biopsies, which is a type of blood test that detects cancerous cells in the blood.”
Listen at 13:48
Guardant Health performed well despite difficult market conditions
“Garden Health did well today.”
Listen at 15:03
Buying strength often means purchasing stocks near their highs
“Buying strength often means buying a stock when it's up near highs.”
Listen at 16:56
Twilio remains within its buy range
“I think it's still in buy range here.”
Listen at 18:43
Twilio is a fundamental standout among enterprise software companies
“Still look at it as a fundamental, one of the fundamental standouts in the group.”
Listen at 19:09
Twilio remains a solid enterprise software stock
“So I think it still looks right here and, you know, good solid name in the enterprise software group.”
Listen at 19:22
Sunoco is a strong stock within the refining group
“Sunoco is a really solid name inside the refining group”
Listen at 21:25
Sunoco currently looks attractive technically
“Sunoco looks good here.”
Listen at 21:54
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.