UK Small/Mid Caps with Paul Scott
UK Small/Mid Caps with Paul Scott

Oct 23, 2026 · 15 min

Robinson issues third profit warning since August

Morning Movers - Fri 23 Oct 2026

Robinson’s latest warning puts expected profits below forecasts and highlights the risks facing investors in a small packaging company.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1Robinson has issued its third profit warning since August, signaling continuing pressure on the small packaging company.
  2. 2Expected profits have fallen below forecasts, making the update a significant concern for investors.
  3. 3Paul Scott frames the commentary as personal market analysis rather than financial advice.

Don't miss

Robinson’s third profit warning since August, with expected profits now below forecasts, is the episode’s central market development.

The brief

Paul Scott opens with a brief Friday market update centered on Robinson, a UK packaging company facing its third profit warning since August.

The warning indicates that Robinson’s expected profits are now below forecasts, turning a routine small-cap update into a material concern for investors.

The episode keeps its focus narrow: Robinson’s repeated warnings and the implications of weaker-than-expected profits for those assessing the company.

Scott closes with a reminder that the views expressed are personal and do not constitute financial advice.

What was said on this episode

13 statements · 5 positive · 8 negative

  1. Paul Scotton RobinsonNegative1:25

    Robinson shares are substantially overvalued at the revised earnings multiple

    “that's obviously way too expensive”

    Listen at 1:25

  2. Paul Scotton Robinson sharesNegative1:27

    Robinson shares should be worth roughly 30p rather than £1.70

    “You'd expect the shares to be, what, 30p or something, but they're actually £1.7.”

    Listen at 1:27

  3. Paul Scotton Robinson dividendsNegative2:28

    Robinson’s dividends are likely to be cut

    “I would imagine the dividends are likely to be cut at Robinson's.”

    Listen at 2:28

  4. Paul Scotton BoohooPositive4:04

    Boohoo’s finances and debt position have improved substantially

    “So Boohoo's straightened out now in terms of its finances and debt”

    Listen at 4:04

  5. Paul Scotton air-freighted small-parcel retail shipmentsNegative4:54

    Air-freighted small-parcel Chinese retail shipments will stop within two years

    “in two years' time is going to be stopped”

    Listen at 4:54

  6. Paul Scotton online fashion businessesNegative5:24

    Online fashion businesses will continue struggling amid Chinese competition

    “I think they're all going to continue struggling.”

    Listen at 5:24

  7. Paul Scotton Chinese competition in fast fashionNegative6:07

    Ignoring Chinese competition would be a serious analytical oversight

    “I think anyone who ignores Chinese competition here is maybe making an oversight.”

    Listen at 6:07

  8. Paul Scotton Helical high-end London property nichePositive7:47

    Helical’s high-end London property niche is attractive

    “I think this high-end property niche is very, very interesting, actually.”

    Listen at 7:47

  9. Paul Scotton Helical sharesPositive8:51

    Helical shares may offer an opportunity below EPRA net tangible asset value

    “the share price should be quite close to that i would have thought but it's not it's actually about half one pound 85 so i think there might be an opportunity at helical”

    Listen at 8:51

  10. Paul Scotton HelicalPositive9:59

    Investors should consider Helical

    “Helical looks worthy of consideration, I think.”

    Listen at 9:59

  11. Paul Scotton EvokeNegative10:54

    Evoke would be financially precarious if the 52p takeover bid fails

    “if that 52p bid falls through, the company is in a really precarious financial position”

    Listen at 10:54

  12. Paul Scotton EvokeNegative11:21

    Evoke’s bid-failure downside risk is too extreme for investment

    “The downside risk of the bid failing is too extreme to want to consider.”

    Listen at 11:21

  13. Paul Scotton ColfaxPositive11:56

    Colfax’s share capital is continuously declining through buybacks

    “the share capital is just continuously shrinking.”

    Listen at 11:56

Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.

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