The Bulwark Daily
The Bulwark Daily

Sep 22, 2026 · 59 min

Listen from 57:38

Listen at 57:38

Stevens urges Democrats to confront Trump and Republican weakness

Stuart Stevens: Republicans Are Desperate

The conversation tests whether Democrats can turn Republican vulnerabilities on corruption, foreign policy, and Trump into a confident midterm strategy.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1Stuart Stevens argues Democrats should make the midterms a direct referendum on Trump rather than rely on generic messaging.
  2. 2Republican spending patterns and conciliatory advertising are presented as signs of weakness, not evidence of electoral strength.
  3. 3The discussion links Ukraine, military readiness, China, and Taiwan to a broader Democratic case for alliances and national strength.

Don't miss

Stevens argues that Democrats should attack Republican support for the war and military leadership while presenting themselves as the stronger party on national security.

The brief

Tim Miller and Stuart Stevens open with the midterms, then turn to Republican corruption, campaign spending, and the question of whether Democrats will prosecute the case against Trump directly.

A discussion of Susan Collins, defense contracts, campaign money, and an allegedly obstructed FBI investigation becomes a broader indictment of Republicans who abandoned their former principles.

Stevens reads Republican spending patterns and conciliatory ads as signs of weakness, urging Democrats to project confidence instead of retreating into generic kitchen-table messaging.

The conversation widens from Mississippi and Maine to Ukraine, military readiness, China, and Taiwan, arguing that Democrats should reclaim patriotism, alliances, and responsible strength.

The standout tension is strategic: whether Democrats can make Trump, Republican foreign policy, and visible failures central to the midterms rather than letting cautious messaging define the race.

What was said on this episode

27 statements · 9 positive · 17 negative · 1 neutral

  1. Stuart Stevenson Susan Collins reelectionNegative8:19

    Susan Collins will lose her reelection race and be remembered as a MAGA supplicant.

    “She's going to lose this race, and she's going to be remembered as a MAGA supplicant.”

    Listen at 8:19

  2. Stuart Stevenson Heating oil pricesNegative12:15

    Heating oil has reached $7 per gallon, up from $3.25 two years earlier.

    “Heating oil has now hit $7 a gallon, and 2 years ago it was $3.25.”

    Listen at 12:15

  3. Stuart Stevenson Iran WarNegative12:31

    The Iran war will prevent many people from heating their homes due to high oil prices.

    “You're going to have a lot of people who are not going to be able to heat their homes because of this Iran war more than anything else.”

    Listen at 12:31

  4. Stuart Stevenson Political television advertisingNegative17:15

    Additional political television exposure will not change outcomes in these races.

    “I don't think in any of these races an additional 10,000 gross rating points, 15,000 gross rating points is going to make a difference.”

    Listen at 17:15

  5. Stuart Stevenson Right-track sentimentNegative18:55

    Incumbent parties have not won with right-track sentiment below 45%, currently measured at 25%.

    “And no incumbent party in modern politics has ever won elections when the right track was under 45. It's now 25.”

    Listen at 18:55

  6. Stuart Stevenson Donald Trump favorabilityNegative19:24

    Trump’s very favorable rating is about 15%, while his very unfavorable rating is about 50%.

    “So Trump's very favorable. The last poll I saw was bouncing around 15. And his very unfavorable was hitting 50.”

    Listen at 19:24

  7. Stuart Stevenson Democratic midterm strategyPositive21:34

    Democrats should make the midterms an aggressive referendum on Trump.

    “And I think the Democrats need to attack, attack, attack, attack. This is a referendum on Trump.”

    Listen at 21:34

  8. Stuart Stevenson Political corruption and fuel pricesNegative21:51

    Political corruption causes consumers to pay $90 to fill their cars.

    “The reason that you're paying $90 to fill up your car is because of corruption.”

    Listen at 21:51

  9. Stuart Stevenson Ashley Hinson campaignNegative27:22

    Ashley Hinson’s conciliatory advertising indicates she trails by eight points.

    “If Ashley Hinson wasn't 8 points behind, she sure as shit wouldn't be doing this.”

    Listen at 27:22

  10. Stuart Stevenson Campaign spending and time allocationNeutral29:05

    Campaign spending and candidate time reveal political beliefs more reliably than campaign spin.

    “There's 2 things you can't lie about in politics: where you're spending money and where you're spending time. And those are the ultimate truths.”

    Listen at 29:05

  11. Stuart Stevenson Democratic Party campaign posturePositive30:11

    Democrats should project confidence and emphasize their numerical advantage.

    “If I ran the Democratic Party, I would wake up every day and everybody chant, we're right, they're wrong, there's more of us than them, and walk with a little swagger.”

    Listen at 30:11

  12. Stuart Stevenson Scott ColomPositive35:31

    Scott Colom would be a great senator if elected.

    “I hope he wins, he's a terrific candidate, would be a great senator.”

    Listen at 35:31

  13. Stuart Stevenson Scott Colom Senate racePositive36:10

    Scott Colom is worth backing with a 3.5-point handicap.

    “So I, I would take Scott and give the points.”

    Listen at 36:10

  14. Stuart Stevenson Scott Colom Senate racePositive36:24

    Scott Colom’s race will be decided by about three points if he loses.

    “I think this race will be a 3-point race if he loses. I, I don't think it's gonna be a blowout.”

    Listen at 36:24

  15. Stuart Stevenson Russian influence on Republican PartyNegative39:42

    Russia compromised the Republican Party through financial and institutional influence.

    “the Russians compromised our own party”

    Listen at 39:42

  16. The Republican Party shifted from anti-Russian to pro-Putin.

    “the party that went from being the most consistently anti-Soviet Union, anti-expansive Russian Federation became the pro-Putin party.”

    Listen at 40:01

  17. Stuart Stevenson Donald Trump and RussiaNegative41:05

    Trump is compromised by Russia, and following his preferences indicates Russian compromise.

    “Trump is compromised by Russia. If you vote the way Trump wants you to, you're compromised by Russia.”

    Listen at 41:05

  18. Stuart Stevenson Ukraine resistancePositive43:36

    Russia will not defeat Ukraine because Ukrainians are determined to resist enslavement.

    “And you are not going to beat the Ukrainians because they know that they would become slaves.”

    Listen at 43:36

  19. Stuart Stevenson Ukrainian military innovationsPositive43:43

    Ukrainian military innovations will shape the future of warfare.

    “their innovations across the board are the future of war.”

    Listen at 43:43

  20. Stuart Stevenson Pete Hegseth military policyNegative43:56

    Pete Hegseth is canceling military drone units.

    “Pete Hegseth is canceling drone units.”

    Listen at 43:56

  21. Stuart Stevenson Testosterone and military recruitmentNegative46:40

    Testosterone treatment cannot convert ordinary recruits into effective warriors.

    “But the idea that you're going to somehow convert people to warriors by testosterone”

    Listen at 46:40

  22. Stuart Stevenson U.S. support for Ukraine and Taiwan defenseNegative51:06

    U.S. policy toward Ukraine undermines China’s belief that America will defend Taiwan.

    “how are you sitting there in China, in the leadership and in the military, and look at what we've done for Ukraine and think that we're going to come in and defend Taiwan?”

    Listen at 51:06

  23. Stuart Stevenson U.S. foreign-policy weaknessNegative51:56

    Weakness in foreign policy invites international instability.

    “it's, it's weakness invites instability.”

    Listen at 51:56

  24. Stuart Stevenson Democratic foreign-policy repositioningPositive52:57

    Democratic strength-oriented foreign policy would reshape American politics for a generation.

    “And if they do, I think it'll have a generational impact on our politics.”

    Listen at 52:57

  25. The U.S. military will emerge weaker than at any time since Vietnam after this political era.

    “The military's going to emerge from the Hegseth, Wicker, Trump era weaker than it's been anytime since the Vietnam War.”

    Listen at 54:10

  26. Stuart Stevenson J.D. Vance rhetoricNegative56:15

    J.D. Vance’s rhetoric increases the likelihood of another wave of anti-Asian American hatred.

    “he makes it much more likely that there will be another wave of anti-Asian American hatred.”

    Listen at 56:15

  27. Stuart Stevenson J.D. Vance and Ivanka Trump ticketPositive56:35

    J.D. Vance will run for president with Ivanka Trump as his running mate.

    “And I think he'll run with Ivanka Trump.”

    Listen at 56:35

Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.

Books & mentions

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