The Bulwark Daily
The Bulwark Daily

Sep 9, 2026 · 1h 20m

Listen from 44:03

Listen at 44:03

Tarlov argues Democrats need facts, empathy and accountability

Jessica Tarlov: POTUS Needs Some Moral Support

The conversation connects immediate fights over Trump, national security and political disinformation to the harder question of how Americans can disagree without surrendering principles.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1Trump’s midterm strategy faces Republican vulnerabilities, gas-price pressure and Democratic questions about enthusiasm and message discipline.
  2. 2The administration’s handling of Iran, Ukraine and national security raises concerns about vacancies, secrecy and accountability.
  3. 3Tarlov argues that political conversations work better when facts are paired with curiosity, listening and attention to emotional stakes.

Don't miss

Tarlov explains why fact-based confrontation often fails when political beliefs are tied to identity and emotional threat, then offers listening and curiosity as alternatives.

The brief

Jessica Tarlov and Tim Miller assess Trump’s planned midterm spectacle, Republican vulnerabilities, gas prices and whether Democrats can convert discontent into gains.

Their foreign-policy discussion turns sharply critical, focusing on Iran, Ukraine, leadership vacancies and an administration accused of treating major crises as distractions or personal theater.

Using Fox News coverage and a dispute with J.D. Vance over an Iran memorandum, they examine how denial, distraction and officials’ own words shape political reality.

The conversation widens to anti-Muslim attacks in New York, Zohran Mamdani’s political standing and the release of 9/11 records, including records tied to affected families.

Tarlov’s practical advice from I Disagree is the episode’s clearest takeaway: preserve relationships where possible, listen for emotional stakes and never abandon facts or principles.

What was said on this episode

29 statements · 9 positive · 18 negative · 2 neutral

  1. Jessica Tarlovon Trump’s midterm eventNegative15:07

    Trump’s midterm event will emphasize negative messaging over positive accomplishments.

    “I think it is going to be much more about the negative messaging than it is going to be about the positive messaging.”

    Listen at 15:07

  2. Jessica Tarlovon Trump’s midterm eventNegative16:17

    Trump’s midterm event will be politically insular.

    “I think it's going to be a very insular convention.”

    Listen at 16:17

  3. Jessica Tarlovon Republican congressional candidatesNegative17:48

    Republican candidates in supposedly safe districts are concerned about reelection.

    “candidates who should be in safe position feel concerned.”

    Listen at 17:48

  4. Democrats have strong candidates competing in vulnerable districts.

    “the Democrats have some real badass candidates running in these districts”

    Listen at 18:14

  5. Tim Milleron Pia DandiaPositive18:56

    Pia Dandia is leading by two points in Florida’s 22nd District.

    “Pia Dandia is the candidate that she was highlighting as she says really strong kind of surprising challenger. She's up 2 in that district that Trump won by that.”

    Listen at 18:56

  6. Jessica Tarlovon Democratic-Republican voter enthusiasm gapPositive19:36

    Democrats currently hold a large enthusiasm advantage over Republicans.

    “the enthusiasm gap is enormous”

    Listen at 19:36

  7. Jessica Tarlovon U.S. national-security policyNegative23:35

    Current policy could produce a future crisis involving Russia, Taiwan, or the Middle East.

    “there is going to be a crisis moment, whether that has to do with Russia or it has to do with China vis-à-vis Taiwan, etc., or in the Middle East if we keep going on this track”

    Listen at 23:35

  8. Jessica Tarlovon U.S. military equipmentNegative23:46

    The United States will lack equipment for a future major crisis.

    “we are not going to have the equipment to be able to do this”

    Listen at 23:46

  9. Jessica Tarlovon U.S. national-security news coverageNegative26:22

    Rapidly moving past major national-security stories makes people less safe and less prepared.

    “we are all a lot less safe as a result of it and prepared for what the future holds”

    Listen at 26:22

  10. Jessica Tarlovon U.S. international alliancesNegative26:53

    Other countries’ new deals and alliances will outlast the current U.S. administration.

    “their new deals are going to last longer than this, and their new alliances”

    Listen at 26:53

  11. Jessica Tarlovon Canada-China military relationsNeutral27:14

    Canada-China military relations have undergone a major thaw.

    “This is an enormous thaw in military relations between Canada and China.”

    Listen at 27:14

  12. Tim Milleron Jared KushnerNegative28:24

    Jared Kushner is conducting unofficial foreign policy while receiving foreign money.

    “Jared Kushner is kind of running illegal foreign policy as a non-government official on multiple fronts while taking money from, from other countries.”

    Listen at 28:24

  13. Jessica Tarlovon Trump administration figuresNegative30:58

    Trump administration figures are attracted to power even when it is authoritarian.

    “these guys are just so obviously in love with power, even if it comes in dictatorial packages.”

    Listen at 30:58

  14. Jessica Tarlovon Trump supporters and surrogatesNeutral35:52

    Trump supporters and surrogates now have greater latitude to criticize him.

    “there is more leeway for criticism”

    Listen at 35:52

  15. Jessica Tarlovon Iran WarNegative36:13

    There is widespread belief that the Iran war is going badly.

    “there is an overwhelming feeling that it is not actually going well”

    Listen at 36:13

  16. Jessica Tarlovon Iran WarNegative36:20

    The Iran war has substantially departed from its original objectives.

    “we have moved so far from the original goalposts”

    Listen at 36:20

  17. Jessica Tarlovon Trump administration figuresNegative41:07

    Trump administration figures readily lie or state the opposite of verifiable facts.

    “the ease at which these people will lie”

    Listen at 41:07

  18. Jessica Tarlovon New York City mayor’s 9/11 ceremony attendancePositive49:22

    New York City’s mayor should attend the 9/11 ceremony.

    “the mayor, the duly elected mayor of New York City, should be at the 9/11 ceremony”

    Listen at 49:22

  19. Zohran Mamdani’s approval rating is approximately 57%.

    “his approval rating, which is at a, I think, 57%, which is pretty high”

    Listen at 51:42

  20. Zohran Mamdani has avoided several major mistakes associated with DSA figures.

    “he has in a lot of ways, I think, sidestepped some of the big mistakes that folks in the DSA have made”

    Listen at 52:57

  21. Jessica Tarlovon New York City murdersPositive53:13

    New York City recorded its lowest summer murder count in an unspecified period.

    “we had the lowest number of murders in— how long was it— over the summer”

    Listen at 53:13

  22. Jessica Tarlovon Zohran Mamdani’s release of 9/11 documentsPositive53:54

    Zohran Mamdani’s release of 9/11-related documents is commendable.

    “I think that this is amazing that he's done this”

    Listen at 53:54

  23. Jessica Tarlovon Political argumentationPositive1:01:09

    Political arguments should prioritize statistical averages over anecdotes.

    “the numbers matter, you know, thinking averages and not anecdotes”

    Listen at 1:01:09

  24. Jessica Tarlovon ICE detaineesNegative1:04:46

    More than 70% of people detained by ICE have committed no crime.

    “over 70% of the people that ICE are picking up haven't committed any crime”

    Listen at 1:04:46

  25. Jessica Tarlovon Political engagement by the leftNegative1:13:22

    Excessive outrage causes the left to miss opportunities for political engagement.

    “There is an opportunity to be able to engage that we miss out on because we rage too hard.”

    Listen at 1:13:22

  26. Democrats fail to acknowledge issues meaningful to many voters.

    “our party's inability to acknowledge things that are meaningful to them”

    Listen at 1:15:04

  27. Jessica Tarlovon IceNegative1:16:17

    ICE is an uncontrolled force operating recklessly.

    “they are an out-of-control force operating with reckless abandon”

    Listen at 1:16:17

  28. Jessica Tarlovon IceNegative1:16:25

    ICE is breaking laws and violating the rights of Americans and undocumented people.

    “They are breaking the law. They are violating, you know, Americans' rights and people who are here illegally, their rights”

    Listen at 1:16:25

  29. Jessica Tarlovon People who harm AmericansNegative1:18:13

    People who harm Americans should be removed from the United States.

    “you hurt an American, you should be out of here”

    Listen at 1:18:13

Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.

Books & mentions

Listen to the full episode and explore every guest, topic, and moment on PodLume.

Tarlov argues Democrats need facts, empathy and accountability · PodLume