The Rest Is Politics: US
The Rest Is Politics: US

Nov 9, 2026 · 38 min

Listen from 33:23

Listen at 33:23

Trump’s midterm loss exposes a Republican succession fight

241. Susie Wiles Out, Stephen Miller In: What is Trump Thinking?

The episode examines whether Trump’s response to defeat will deepen his administration’s internal tensions and clarify Democrats’ governing opportunity.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1Stephen Miller’s expected rise sharpens the conflict between Trump’s immigration messaging and a harder-line governing agenda.
  2. 2Trump’s economic insulation and volatility helped turn affordability, corruption, and accountability into central political liabilities.
  3. 3Democrats face pressure to convert midterm gains into a practical mandate on costs, healthcare, immigration, and oversight.

Don't miss

The hosts connect Trump’s economic bubble to the midterm backlash, arguing that insulation from struggling voters turned affordability into a political liability.

The brief

Katty Kay and Anthony Scaramucci begin with the Republican midterm defeat, Susie Wiles’s departure, and Stephen Miller’s expected elevation inside Trump’s White House.

Miller’s hard-line immigration agenda clashes with Trump’s more moderate-sounding comments, revealing a broader tension between political messaging and governing instincts.

The hosts argue that Trump’s economic bubble obscures voters’ affordability problems, while loyalty tests and succession maneuvering expose fractures among Miller, Marco Rubio, and J.D. Vance.

The discussion turns to Republican unease over Pete Hegseth, possible changes around the press operation, and Trump’s continuing political impulsiveness.

Democrats’ opportunity is also their test: turn gains into action on affordability, healthcare, immigration, tariffs, and oversight rather than treating impeachment as the entire strategy.

What was said on this episode

24 statements · 6 positive · 17 negative · 1 neutral

  1. Stephen Miller may wield more influence than Susie Wiles over Trump’s direction.

    “I think he's potentially, as long as he lasts, going to be much more powerful than Susie Wiles was in shaping the direction of the president.”

    Listen at 4:38

  2. Katty Kayon Donald TrumpNegative7:45

    Trump will pursue Stephen Miller’s hardline immigration direction.

    “I think he's going Stephen Miller.”

    Listen at 7:45

  3. Donald Trump trusts Stephen Miller.

    “Trump trusts Stephen Miller.”

    Listen at 8:00

  4. Donald Trump is a deeply dark political figure.

    “he's a dark, dark figure.”

    Listen at 9:10

  5. Trump is insulated from voters harmed by affordability problems, war, and tariffs.

    “He has effectively insulated himself from the people that he used to talk to 10 years ago that are getting destroyed right now in this economy due to the affordability issues and due to the war and the tariffs and all this other stuff.”

    Listen at 10:12

  6. The midterms reflected voter frustration with economic struggle and asset inequality.

    “this midterms was not just a referendum just on kind of corruption and Donald Trump making money. It was a referendum on a system in which people who don't have money and don't have assets and have to work for a living and get a job for a living are struggling.”

    Listen at 11:36

  7. Trump will intensify his hostility and project it onto society.

    “he's going to double down on being an unhappy camper and project all of this ill will on the rest of us in our civilization.”

    Listen at 12:52

  8. Katty Kayon J.D. VanceNegative16:04

    J.D. Vance is politically uncertain while seeking a path to the presidency.

    “he is lost at the moment because he doesn't know which way to go and he doesn't know how the electorate is going to be and he's trying to spin himself in circles.”

    Listen at 16:04

  9. Republicans will accelerate legislation and judicial confirmations before January.

    “They are going to try as hard as they can to goose up whatever legislation or judicial confirmations they need between now and January.”

    Listen at 17:07

  10. Anthony Scaramuccion Congressional leadersNegative17:28

    Congressional leaders will resist Stephen Miller’s effort to advance MAGA legislation.

    “I predict, watch me, I'm picking my nose, scratching my nose. That's what the congressional leaders are going to say.”

    Listen at 17:28

  11. Katty Kayon Stephen MillerNegative18:11
    “They know that they can't go Miller and White House. You can't have both.”

    Listen at 18:11

  12. Pete Hegseth will leave office by November 30.

    “I predict he doesn't last to the end of the month. He's out by November the 30th.”

    Listen at 18:52

  13. Katty Kayon Pete HegsethNegative19:02

    Pete Hegseth may leave office by Thanksgiving or sooner.

    “I think he's out by Thanksgiving. I think he could be out by the end of this week.”

    Listen at 19:02

  14. Katty Kayon Pete HegsethNegative19:10

    Trump’s administration will remove Pete Hegseth to avoid impeachment and assign war blame.

    “They'll decide to remove him because they don't want to go through the process of him being impeached and they want to blame somebody for the war.”

    Listen at 19:10

  15. Trump’s Dana White proposal demonstrates his incompetence.

    “that's another sign of his crazed incompetence.”

    Listen at 21:42

  16. Dana White is unlikely to become White House press secretary soon.

    “I don't think he's going to be the White House press secretary anytime soon”

    Listen at 22:37

  17. Democrats will control Congress for six to ten years.

    “the Democrats are going to be controlling the Congress and probably controlling it for the next six to 10 years”

    Listen at 23:03

  18. Anthony Scaramuccion 10% credit-card interest capNegative30:00

    A 10% credit-card interest cap will not pass because banking lobbying is too strong.

    “She wants these interest rates capped at 10%. He said he would sign that. She's going to try to push that. I predict that that will not happen.”

    Listen at 30:00

  19. American Banking Association lobbying will block the proposed credit-card cap.

    “The American Banking Association lobby is too strong for that.”

    Listen at 30:10

  20. Democrats will aggressively investigate and target Pete Hegseth.

    “they're going to come after Hexet, though. Hexeth is going to be part of that 25% accountability. They're going to go hard at Hexeth.”

    Listen at 31:07

  21. “The Democrats could probably try to reinstate that.”

    Listen at 33:23

  22. Anthony Scaramuccion Republican presidential contendersNegative34:25

    Republican presidential contenders will conclude their party is broadly unpopular.

    “these Republican presidential wannabes, them and their consultants are going to be deciphering the polls and saying, holy shit, we're hated in the United States.”

    Listen at 34:25

  23. Democrats are expected to govern and reduce voters’ grocery bills.

    “They have been put in there to govern and to bring down people's grocery bills.”

    Listen at 34:43

  24. Katty Kayon Stephen MillerPositive35:38

    Stephen Miller will remain politically prominent in the near term.

    “It's clear he's not going to be disappearing anytime soon.”

    Listen at 35:38

Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.

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Trump’s midterm loss exposes a Republican succession fight · PodLume