Oct 13, 2026 · 2h 21m
Western contenders face sharpest win-total disagreements
NBA Over/Unders, Part 1: The West | with Zach Lowe and Joe House
The panel’s picks reveal how health, roster fit, and anti-tanking incentives could reshape the Western Conference race.
- 1The Spurs, Rockets, Thunder, Grizzlies, and Lakers emerge as the panel’s clearest candidates to beat expectations.
- 2The Pelicans, Warriors, Clippers, and Suns carry the strongest downside, though Phoenix produces the episode’s lone split decision.
- 3Dallas, Minnesota, Denver, Utah, Portland, and Sacramento expose the uncertainty behind several closely contested projections.
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All three hosts take the Spurs over 60.5 wins, balancing Victor Wembanyama’s extraordinary upside against questions about depth and late-game creation.
The brief
Bill Simmons, Zach Lowe, and Joe House open with the season’s major questions, including new anti-tanking incentives that could reshape the race for the middle of the standings.
The panel backs San Antonio, Houston, Oklahoma City, Memphis, and the Lakers to clear their totals, citing star power, depth, health, and roster fit.
The sharpest disagreements center on Dallas, Minnesota, Denver, Utah, Portland, and Sacramento, where one player, coach, or roster experiment could swing the projection.
New Orleans, Golden State, and the Clippers draw unanimous unders, while Phoenix splits the panel over whether toughness and depth can offset a thin frontcourt.
The standout debate comes in San Antonio, where all three take the over on 60.5 wins after weighing Victor Wembanyama’s ceiling against late-game creation and depth.