AI superforecasting

Heard in 1 episode across 1 show since Jul 2026

AI superforecasting refers to the use of artificial intelligence, particularly large language models and machine learning algorithms, to generate highly accurate predictions or to augment human judgment in forecasting complex future events. This emerging field combines the statistical methodologies of traditional superforecasting with the data-processing power of AI-clouds to outperform standard expert predictions. It is increasingly applied to anticipate geopolitical shifts, technological breakthroughs, and risks associated with artificial general intelligence.