What podcasts say about Cem Arslan
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Cem Arslan has said on podcasts
14 statements · 3 positive · 10 negative · 1 neutral
Expanding equity valuations are largely appearing as earnings and will drive approximately 20% earnings growth.
“the majority of it is showing up as earnings. That's going to drive some pretty good earnings growth, about 20%.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 22:59
Current earnings growth is driven by capex spending from an expanding investment bubble.
“It has everything to do with the capex spend that's coming from the investment bubble that's being inflated.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 23:33
The market’s economic effect is five times its 2020 level.
“the effect on the whole economy is literally a 5x relative to where we were in 2020.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 23:52
Bubbles generate earnings that appear to justify their valuations.
“This is what bubbles do. This is why bubbles exist.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 24:28
A bond-market V-bottom is imminent.
“It's coming.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 37:20
The 10-year Treasury yield will quickly reach 5.5%–6% within three months.
“It's going to look like somewhere between 5.5% and 6% in the 10-year. And it's going to be quick. And it's going to happen sometime in the next three months.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 37:23
The S&P 500 may fall 25%–40% during the first two quarters of the year.
“I think we're getting 25, similar to Liberation Day, 25% to 40%. in the S&P in the first two quarters of this year.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 37:45
Market earnings are a function of capital expenditure and investment flows.
“the earnings themselves are a function of the CapEx and driving investment directly into this channel.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 39:01
Authorities must create money to sustain market growth.
“We got to print the money.”
Open the episode · SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem KarsanListen at 39:17
Abandoning free-market economics entirely produces inefficient, worse outcomes.
“free market economics are the state of the world. And to divorce yourself from it altogether is incredibly inefficient and does lead to worse outcomes.”
Open the episode · GM106: What Happens When the Debt Finally Matters ft. Marvin BarthListen at 52:11
Right-wing populism disguises policies that do not improve ordinary people’s outcomes.
“Right-wing populism is a wolf in sheep's clothing.”
Open the episode · GM106: What Happens When the Debt Finally Matters ft. Marvin BarthListen at 55:12
Populism leads governments toward protectionism.
“if you have populism at the end of the day You need protectionism to protect your people”
Open the episode · GM106: What Happens When the Debt Finally Matters ft. Marvin BarthListen at 1:06:38
Protectionism fragments commodity supplies and reduces distribution efficiency.
“when you go to protectionist world, you get sequestered commodities and an inefficiency of the move of commodities”
Open the episode · GM106: What Happens When the Debt Finally Matters ft. Marvin BarthListen at 1:07:10
Kevin Warsh’s actions will remain less hawkish than his rhetoric.
“I think his actions will continue to be the other way.”
Open the episode · GM106: What Happens When the Debt Finally Matters ft. Marvin BarthListen at 1:15:58
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.