What podcasts say about Cullen Roche
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Cullen Roche has said on podcasts
16 statements · 9 positive · 7 negative
The United States’ domestic-currency borrowing reduces its risk of sovereign default.
“the United States very specifically does not borrow in a foreign currency. And that's really the crucial aspect that I think distinguishes the United States from A lot of countries that actually go broke.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 33:57
US fiscal risk is inflation rather than sovereign default.
“The risk is not that the country is going to go broke. The risk is that a lot of this government spending can cause inflation.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 35:15
Longer-duration Treasuries provide less protection against inflation.
“the longer you are, especially on the Treasury curve, the further out you go, the more exposed you are to less and less inflation protection.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 36:12
A 2.6% ten-year TIPS yield is attractive.
“a 10-year tips yield is at 2.6% today, that's really attractive.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 36:29
Buying 30-year Treasuries may still be unwise.
“should you be buying 30-year treasuries? That's still maybe a little crazy to me.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 36:58
One-year Treasury bills offer an attractive 4.6% yield.
“a T-bill is yielding 4.6% today.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 37:07
US Treasury bills have effectively zero default risk.
“you have zero probability of that asset going to zero because of default.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 37:32
Households’ main financial risks are long-term inflation and short-term funding needs.
“your biggest risk is really, what is it? Probably long-term inflation and being able to fund your short-term needs.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 39:12
Equities are the best hedge against households’ long-term risks.
“the equity market is the best hedge against the long-run risks that most of us face.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 39:51
The risk-reward profile of Treasuries has improved substantially since yields rose.
“the risk reward has substantially changed.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 42:25
AI will substantially reduce inflation over the long run.
“I think AI is incredibly disinflationary in the long run”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 49:02
Widespread robotic labor will sharply reduce unit labor costs.
“once you get to a point where robots really are meaningfully doing a lot of the work across lots of components of the economy, unit labor costs collapse.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 49:11
Hyperscaler investment is currently the largest recession risk.
“the hyperscalers are probably the biggest risk.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 50:21
A pullback in data-center and AI investment would slow real GDP growth.
“if you start to really get a pullback in data center investment and AI investment in general. What does that do to GDP? Then you're entering Mike's world where all of a sudden real GDP is slowing.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 50:46
The primary risk from rising US federal debt is inflation.
“The risk is inflation.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 51:47
The United States remains the most attractive major sovereign borrower comparatively.
“we're a dirty shirt, but we're the cleanest dirty shirt in the closet.”
Open the episode · How to Talk To Your Clients About Ray Dalio (EP. 482)Listen at 56:14
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.