What podcasts say about Lyman Stone
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Lyman Stone has said on podcasts
44 statements · 21 positive · 18 negative · 2 mixed · 3 neutral
Fertility decline may contribute to renewed interstate conflict in the twenty-first century.
“the 21st century fertility decline, I mean, you can think about this north and South Korea”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 11:25
Low fertility will contribute to renewed zero-sum interstate conflict.
“one of the real realities of low fertility will be the resumption of zero sum interstate conflict”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 12:06
Low-fertility societies often retain thriving dominant cities.
“low fertility societies often have thriving primate cities”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 17:16
The probability of producing high-impact geniuses rises with population, education, and capital density.
“The odds you get a genius are just a function of population times education, times some latent genetic difference, but times capital density”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 19:11
Falling fertility will reduce innovation.
“As fertility falls, we will simply not have as much innovation”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 20:38
Feminism is strongly negatively correlated with fertility.
“feminism, broadly construed, is pretty strongly negatively correlated with fertility”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 28:48
Costs are a local factor, not the underlying cause, of low fertility.
“Costs are not the root underlying cause of low fertility”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 41:43
Marrying before 27 substantially improves the chance of reaching desired family size.
“if you MARRY before age 27, on average, you have basically no gap between your desired family size, early life and your final family size”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 59:07
Having wanted children increases happiness.
“having kids you want to have increases happiness in the most robust models we know of”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:02:49
Failed or delayed IVF is associated with nearly doubled antipsychotic prescriptions.
“if your IVF fails or if it takes just longer than expected, you're almost twice as likely to be prescribed antipsychotics”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:17:02
South Korea could reach replacement fertility by spending 12% of GDP on child benefits.
“If they put 12% of GDP into child benefits, I'll put down a mark”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:23:01
Additional primary education causally reduces fertility.
“Primary school education does have a causal effect. When you go from like oh, you had six years of education to eight, that does reduce fertility.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:28:43
Declining marriage is the main driver of low fertility.
“This entire conversation, it's mostly the declining marriage issue”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:29:38
Most recent fertility decline occurs through reduced entry into parenthood.
“a lot of the decline we've seen around the world is at that first parity”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:32:04
Marriage is the primary mechanism underlying low fertility.
“I'm very much a promoter of the idea that it's really about marriage”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:34:12
Men perpetrate approximately 57–60% of intimate-partner violence.
“Men do about 57 to 60% of intimate partner violence”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:35:40
Remote work may increase fertility.
“there's growing evidence that remote work unlocks a lot of fertility”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:04:11
Career reentry guarantees could enable many mothers to leave work temporarily.
“if they knew they could return at a comparable place as they left, would. The problem is we don't have that.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:05:20
In current data, pregnancy or birth has no detectable causal effect on women’s mortality.
“there is no causal effect of pregnancy or, or birth on mortality of women”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:17:44
Men’s share of domestic work is at an all-time high.
“The share of domestic work being done, which means chores, childcare, all in being done by men has risen every decade for the last 90 years. Okay, it is at all time highs.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:32:10
American fathers perform roughly four times more domestic work than the most involved pre-agricultural fathers.
“American dads do something like four times as large a share of domestic work as the most involved pre agricultural society dads that we know.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:32:24
Women living alone do 200% more housework than comparable men living alone.
“those women already do 200% more housework.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:33:14
Broader social support and alloparenting can increase fertility.
“What might is women having more broader support in society? Whether it's from government provided benefits or community organization provided benefits, or just individual choice to do like, like various kinds of help with friends and family and stuff like that, basically alloparenting, that does help.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:34:34
Redistributing domestic work without reducing total work does not increase fertility.
“when the total bill of work in a couple has not changed and you're just shuffling around who does it, that's not boosting fertility because couples make choices together.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:34:53
Stronger population-control policies were associated with faster growth in climate emissions.
“the harder a country cracked down on population growth, the faster their climate emissions rose.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:42:02
Larger populations produce more innovation.
“We know that larger populations innovate more. We know this, this is not ambiguous. It is a solved economic question.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:43:06
A high-population future is necessary for a technology-driven green future.
“Therefore, if you know that your future depends on tech maxing and you know that more people gets you more tech, then the green future is a high population growth future. That's the only equilibrium.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:43:14
The US could theoretically restore fertility to 2.1 by spending roughly 5–6% of GDP annually.
“if the US added its be about 5, 6% of GDP a year max for the US to buy our way out of our current fertility situation. Back to 2.1.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:46:40
A US baby bonus would need to be approximately $150,000 per child.
“I want to say it's about 150,000 per baby.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:47:16
South Korea’s fertility increased by roughly 0.2–0.3 children in three years.
“South Korea's increase in fertility in the last three years, which is like they've increased fertility by 0.2 or 0.3 kids in three years”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:51:20
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.