What podcasts say about Meghan Grant Swiber
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Meghan Grant Swiber has said on podcasts
23 statements · 8 positive · 13 negative · 2 neutral
Inflation expectations shifted investors away from the low-rate environment.
“the big thing that shifted for investors was inflation and having to incorporate inflation expectations”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 2:21
The Federal Reserve needs to raise rates to combat inflationary pressures.
“it suggests to the Fed that they do need to hike to combat inflationary pressures”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 3:54
Elevated rates are slowing marginal housing-market buyers.
“the fact that we have rates where they are right now, it's really slowing that marginal buyer in the housing market right now”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 5:24
Investment-grade corporate bonds increasingly compete with Treasuries for investor demand.
“there is now this competition, I'd say more so than what we've seen in recent history, for investors in the bond market”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 6:29
Equity-market movements are the largest volatility component of financial conditions.
“the biggest volatility component in financial conditions is what equities are doing”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 8:31
The Fed chair is expected to keep hiking until inflation declines.
“the expectation is he'll continue to hike until there is some pass-through that we see to lower inflation”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 10:08
Long-term Treasury yields are high relative to fundamental fair value.
“those have all suggested that long end is trading relatively cheap, meaning that yields are relatively high versus what fundamentals would imply”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 12:38
Treasuries’ portfolio-construction utility has substantially declined.
“the utility that we've seen of Treasuries in portfolio construction has really moderated a lot”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 13:37
Resolving the Iran war could cause Treasury rates to fall substantially.
“we certainly can see rates fall pretty meaningfully”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 16:29
Current interest rates are not restrictive for the economy.
“rates are not restrictive”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 16:57
U.S. manufacturing remains strong despite commodity shocks.
“the manufacturing sector of the U.S. economy is still quite strong”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 17:42
U.S. consumers continue spending despite gasoline-price shocks.
“the consumer is okay to keep carrying on despite the shocks that we're continuing to see from, from a gas perspective”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 18:16
The Treasury is likely to pursue additional measures to lower long-term rates.
“it does suggest that Treasury is going to try other things, other means to get longer-term rates down”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 19:48
Retail demand for short-term Treasury bills is currently strong.
“there's tremendous retail demand for that right now”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 20:15
U.S. interest expenditures are rising as a larger share of the deficit.
“interest rate expenditures on all of this debt is going up and up and up and becoming a higher share of the deficit”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 21:20
Interest-rate volatility is increasing the compensation investors demand for holding Treasuries.
“people are demanding more compensation to own Treasuries because of a lot of the volatility that we've seen in interest rates”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 22:17
Uncertainty about Federal Reserve policy pushed longer-term rates higher.
“longer-term rates were moving up because of this huge element of uncertainty around what the Fed was going to do”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 24:13
The Treasury yield curve has further room to flatten.
“We think that there's more room for the curve to flatten.”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 25:02
The Federal Reserve will likely keep hiking until equities signal weaker demand.
“they're probably going to keep hiking until they get, they get that signal back from the equity market”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 26:32
Shorter-term Treasuries offer more approachable opportunities with less duration risk.
“those opportunities are more approachable at the front end of the yield curve in bills, in 2-year Treasuries, 2- to 5-year part of the Treasury curve where you're taking on less of this duration risk”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 33:38
Long-term Treasury rates may not fall or generate positive returns without a major U.S. growth shock.
“without there being a very massive growth hit in the U.S., it's hard to really have confidence that those rates are coming down and will actually generate positive returns”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 34:18
Rising rates cause mark-to-market losses on 10-year Treasuries.
“if you own 10-year and rates go up, you will incur losses on that position if you mark it to market”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 34:38
Long-duration portfolios incur losses when marked to market during rising rates.
“The real risk is if you have more of a duration allocation where you're owning more longer-term debt and you're marking your portfolio to market, you'll see losses on that”
Open the episode · Making Sense of Sky-High Treasury YieldsListen at 35:20
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.