What podcasts say about Phil Trammell
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Phil Trammell has said on podcasts
13 statements · 7 positive · 3 negative · 2 mixed · 1 neutral
Some goods’ network-adjusted capital share will reach 100%.
“there will be at least some goods whose network adjusted capital share goes to one because the whole supply chain can be automated”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 8:54
Future consumption variety beyond human services may expand and keep singers economically negligible.
“that's sort of my central prediction about how future unfolds. Though it could go either way.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 13:47
The marginal value of computation halves every 18 months.
“the pessimistic framing of Moore's law is every 18 months the value of computation halves.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 15:12
Large-scale job automation without rapid productivity growth is unlikely.
“it does seem like a pretty narrow window. My guess is that if we have the technology to automate so many jobs that it becomes like a new kind of political problem, then the PI will also be growing really fast.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 21:08
Human participation can reduce an AI-organized production process’s quality or speed.
“a human just can't perform it to the level of quality that the AI can perform the other parts of the job or the level of speed or whatever, and they end up pulling down the quality or speed of the finished product.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 41:24
Efficient AI-run political systems will likely outcompete human-run alternatives.
“once an AI run political system is much more efficient than the alternatives, then those will probably tend to out compete the others.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 42:58
People who do not satiate on capital will save more and accumulate most wealth.
“the person who doesn't satiate in capital is going to, if they're being rational, they're going to have a higher savings rate. So in the long run they're going to have most of the wealth.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 48:32
Investment-specific technical change can make capital cheaper relative to consumption goods.
“the price of capital is like falling relative to the price of consumption.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 53:22
Developing countries should begin positioning themselves for AI-related gains now.
“I think it's important for them to get on it now.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 1:04:02
Countries should prioritize indexing AI gains while also pursuing retraining.
“I would prioritize trying to index, but just given how fast AI could, you know, hit the world. But I definitely wouldn't just rely on that”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 1:10:10
Private firms comprise under 20% of U.S. non-small-company market capitalization.
“it's still like, you know, well under 20% of the total market cap of non tiny companies in the US is private.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 1:11:57
Long-run trends will continue making broad economic indexing easier.
“the kind of long, kind of general trend of just lowering those frictions and making it easier for more and more people to index more and more will continue despite the recent bump in the other direction.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 1:12:43
Frontier AI can retain a safety-related lead while ownership remains broadly distributed.
“you could just have a relatively big gap, but it's a public company ownership and it's widely distributed.”
Open the episode · Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?Listen at 1:15:06
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.