What podcasts say about Stephen J. Shaw
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Stephen J. Shaw has said on podcasts
14 statements · 4 positive · 7 negative · 1 mixed · 2 neutral
Fertility decline has spread globally over five decades.
“it was spreading globally and had been spreading for 50 years”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:46
A sustained fertility rate of one makes current-generation births equal all future births.
“if that doesn't change, the total births in a given generation is equal to the total future births of all future generations”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 6:38
Industrialized-world births are currently halving every 50–60 years.
“births are halving in the industrialized world every 50 to 60 years”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 8:09
Japan’s rural areas are experiencing severe population decline.
“the rural areas are absolutely dying”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 16:30
Tokyo’s population growth will continue for another generation.
“the growth within Tokyo is continuing and will continue for a generation more”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 16:32
Population decline will concentrate existing national-debt burdens among fewer people.
“You're going to have your national debts, as they stand now, paid off by fewer and fewer and fewer people”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 21:33
About 90% of people eventually have or want children.
“90% ish of people at some point in life either have or want kids”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 31:04
Young people need better information about realistic family-formation timing.
“the reality of the timing of when people realistically can start families”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 52:38
In the United States, age 27 is approximately the midpoint for eventual motherhood.
“in the US this is, is around he's 27”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 53:17
Age alone can predict motherhood rates with high accuracy.
“You can simply predict what the rates of motherhood are going to be in any society from age alone”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:14:06
Age explains roughly 90% of birth-rate dynamics, while money explains about 10%.
“about 90% of the dynamics of birth rates are age related and about 10% is money”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:25:48
Under current patterns, roughly 40% of US fifteen-year-old girls will remain childless.
“just like fertility patterns right now in the US pretty much 6 out of 10 will become mothers and 4 out of 10 will not”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 1:33:05
Childbearing incentives can temporarily raise birth rates before they decline below prior levels.
“when they brought out incentives to have kids, that indeed the birth rate went up and then afterwards it went down, and it often went down below where it was before.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 2:53:56
Waiting until age 30 is associated with less than a 50% chance of becoming a parent.
“if you wait to 30, apparently it seems universally the likelihood based on outcomes is less than 50, 50%.”
Open the episode · Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099Listen at 3:14:08
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.