What podcasts say about Tom Porcelli
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Tom Porcelli has said on podcasts
10 statements · 2 positive · 6 negative · 1 mixed · 1 neutral
Real wage growth excluding benefits is negative.
“If you just did the wages part. of ECI, it looks meaningfully worse. In fact, it's in negative territory.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 17:37
Positive wealth effects encourage consumers to draw down savings.
“that wealth effect, I think, is really emboldening people to basically feel comfortable dipping into saving”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 18:35
The quit rate is reported at 1.92%, its lowest since 2015.
“the quit rate is 192%. I mean, you have to go back to 2015 to see a lower quit rate.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 19:49
The unemployment rate alone does not adequately capture labor-market conditions.
“I don't think that's the right way of really capturing the sort of the underlying essence of what's happening in the labor market.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 20:20
The labor market is weaker than the unemployment rate suggests.
“I just don't think it's nearly as good as a lot of people would think if you're just looking at the unemployment rate.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 21:11
More people are relying on investment income rather than wage income.
“more and more people are actually relying on investment income. more so than wage income.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 22:12
Greater reliance on investment income increases exposure to market outcomes.
“you're more at the mercy of what happens from a market perspective.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 22:24
A sufficiently long investment horizon reduces concern about market swings.
“I'm very comfortable knowing that my time horizon is sufficient where I'm not all that bothered by market swings.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 23:01
Bond yields now have a higher floor.
“I think there's a new floor. underneath yields.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 23:32
Rising yields are not inherently harmful; their cause determines the effect.
“yields rising in and of itself is not a bad thing. It's the reason. It's the reason that matters.”
Open the episode · Bank Earnings, Why Consumers Are 'Roughed Up' & Real Estate TrendsListen at 23:45
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.