What podcasts say about Ali Vaez
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Ali Vaez has said on podcasts
27 statements · 8 positive · 15 negative · 1 mixed · 3 neutral
The Iran-U.S. conflict is expanding regionally while remaining deadlocked bilaterally.
“it is a metastasizing conflict on the one side, and it's a stalemate on the other.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 8:18
Iran or the United States may escalate before or after the midterm elections.
“there is a risk that either the Iranians would try to mount an October surprise by escalating in a way that would allow them to break this blockade and the economic pressure that the U.S. is putting on them, or that the U.S. would do so either to give the president a victory in the run-up to the midterms.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 11:13
Air bombing has not and will not defeat the Houthis.
“that it was done by the Saudi-left coalition for seven years. It was done by the Biden administration. It was done by... the Trump administration, it has not worked. And it will not work.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 14:45
Houthi attacks on Americans would benefit Iran strategically.
“having the Houthis aligned with them and firing at the Americans would be a gift to the Iranians.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 16:36
Iran’s improved targeting of U.S. naval assets requires Chinese or Russian support.
“It's either the Chinese satellite imagery or Russian intelligence. But undoubtedly, the Iranians have become better at targeting U.S. naval assets and could not do it on their own without support from other great powers like China or Russia.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 16:57
The Houthis primarily pursue their own strategic agenda.
“the Houthis are primarily driven by their own agenda.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 17:30
Iran influences but does not control the Houthis as a proxy.
“the Iranians also, they don't control the Houthis. The Houthis, they have influence on the Houthis, but the Houthis are not really their proxy.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 17:59
Houthi escalation supports Iran’s effort to keep energy prices high.
“the timing of Houthi escalation, worked pretty well for the Iranians because this is a period that Iran is trying to make sure that energy prices would remain high, if not go higher.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 18:10
Iran provides substantial support and cooperation to the Houthis.
“There is certainly a lot of cooperation. provision of support for the Houthis by the Iranians.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 19:09
The war made Iran’s political system more efficient at making bold decisions.
“the war did is that it removed several layers of top political and military leadership and replaced them with some new figures. And it basically made the system much more efficient in making bold decisions”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 21:37
Iran’s inflation rate is above 100%.
“Inflation is above 100%.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 24:03
Iran’s currency lost half its value since the war began.
“Currency has lost 50% of its value since the beginning of the war.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 24:29
Iran selectively kept exporting its own oil through the Strait of Hormuz.
“Shutting down the strait is not really the correct word because at least for the first two months, the Iranians were exporting their own oil to China.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 25:51
Iran has used economic coercion to squeeze the global economy in response.
“This is the first time that a country that is subject to economic coercion by great powers is able to squeeze the global economy in response.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 27:03
Limited Russian or Chinese support has helped Iran bog down the United States militarily.
“with very little investment, providing Iran with some intelligence, satellite imagery, electronic warfare capabilities, or even conventional weapons, they have been able to bug down the mightiest military power in the world in the Middle East.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 29:04
The United States has lost substantial military assets, especially interceptor munitions.
“The U.S. has lost a tremendous amount of assets, especially interceptor munitions”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 29:21
Replacing depleted U.S. missile interceptors will take years, not months.
“it takes a long time. for some of these to be produced. They're not easily replaceable. And, you know, it's not a matter of a few weeks or a few months, it's a matter of a few years.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 31:05
The United States will likely adopt more asymmetric warfare methods medium term.
“in the medium term, probably the U.S. would learn some very valuable lessons from this conflict. And it would fight wars actually much more like the Iranians.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 31:17
The United States may be unprepared for geopolitical shocks over the next two years.
“What is a source of concern for a lot of security experts is the short run, what could happen in the next year or two, and how the U.S. would be pretty unprepared for additional black swans”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 31:58
Approximately 17 U.S. bases were targeted in the conflict.
“Most of these bases were targeted. We have about 17 U.S. bases that were targeted.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 32:30
Some targeted U.S. bases are inoperative and require major investment to restore.
“Some of them are completely inoperative and would require significant investment to get them back up and running.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 32:35
U.S.-Israeli coordination is weaker than at the conflict’s beginning.
“it doesn't seem to be the case that there is as much coordination and cooperation as was the case at the beginning of this conflict.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 35:17
Netanyahu overstated how easy the conflict with Iran would be and underdelivered.
“Prime Minister Netanyahu over-promised under-delivered in terms of how easy the conflict with Iran would be.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 35:34
Gulf states are more vulnerable to Iranian attacks than Israel due to geography and defenses.
“the Gulf states are closer. Israel is a thousand kilometers away. It is surrounded by a multi-layer air defense system, whereas most of the Gulf states are vulnerable to Iranian attacks.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 38:10
Iran will retaliate if attacked.
“if they are attacked, they will strike back.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 39:44
Iran is making the conflict costly to deter future Israeli attacks.
“the Iranians are making this conflict so costly for the United States and for the entire world so they would never happen again.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 43:16
The conflict has produced the largest oil shock in world history.
“this is the biggest oil shock the world has ever experienced.”
Open the episode · Are We Verging on Another Escalation in the Middle East? | Ali VaezListen at 43:31
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.