What podcasts say about Chris Clothier
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Chris Clothier has said on podcasts
28 statements · 9 positive · 17 negative · 2 neutral
Hyperscalers need $2.75 trillion annual revenue by 2030
“you need revenues of $2.75 trillion a year in 2030”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 7:35
AI labs would need $5.5 trillion revenue at a 50% gross margin
“at a 50% gross margin, well, that points to $5.5 trillion of revenue”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 8:28
SLMs, Chinese models, or open-weight models could disrupt AI infrastructure spending
“what if all of this spend gets swiped off at the knees? by the SLMs or indeed the Chinese models or the lower cost open weight models”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 10:51
AI infrastructure spending is unlikely to become systemic for hyperscalers
“it's unlikely that all of this spend is likely to be systemic for the hyperscalers themselves”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 11:50
“I think it's highly unlikely that at that cost of capital that it can make any sense for them to continue investing.”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 12:44
Established AI-related businesses are beginning to show financial stress
“more established businesses are showing some signs of stress”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 13:16
Limited credit availability could slow AI infrastructure investment
“it is possible that if the availability of credit just isn't there, then all of this does slow down”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 15:12
A credit-driven AI slowdown would have relatively limited fallout
“the fallout would be relatively... limited”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 15:28
Unlimited AI investment appears economically irrational
“this sort of runway of kind of unlimited investment that strikes me as being kind of economically insane, frankly.”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 15:55
An AI-related slowdown could produce a severe recession
“it's entirely possible that we have a nasty recession”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 16:57
A credit-driven AI slowdown would significantly hurt chip companies
“any major slowdown as a result of availability of credit would hit them”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 17:26
A sharp AI-boom slowdown would reduce inflation
“a sharp slowdown in the AI boom would definitely reduce inflation”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 19:40
Defense spending does not increase economic productive capacity
“the point about defence spending is that it is... economically non-productive”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 21:09
Gold had begun behaving like a speculative asset
“we saw that gold was starting to behave like a speculative asset”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 23:33
Selected infrastructure investments may return about 9% nominally annually
“we think that these things offer nominal returns of the order of 9% per annum”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 24:23
Selected infrastructure investments may deliver 5–6% real returns
“they're going to deliver something like five to six percent real”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 24:32
Long-dated bonds are in a secular bear market until fiscal conditions change
“we think we're in a secular bear market for long-dated bonds until this changes”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 26:39
No UK budget action would make 30-year gilts attractive
“there's nothing that the Chancellor could do that would make me want to own 30-year gilts”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 27:17
Global spending splurges are creating genuine competition for capital
“the competition for capital is real”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 29:54
The global spending surge could abruptly end
“this could all come to a shuddering halt”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 31:00
Real government-bond yields are attractive relative to history
“Real yields in government bond markets are fundamentally very attractive compared to history”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 31:20
Five- to six-year nominal and real bonds are attractive
“We are very constructive on the yield curve, both nominal and real, going out about as far as five, six years.”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 31:48
Investors can comfortably own five-year nominal or index-linked gilts
“you can own, say, five-year nominal or index-linked gilts with a huge amount of comfort”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 32:19
Chris Clothier would buy gold at 3.5
“Three and a half.”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 33:03
Central banks are unlikely to abandon gold
“I see no reason why central banks will give up on gold”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 33:52
Western fiscal consolidation would initially cause a severe slowdown
“if you saw that Western governments really trying to get a grip, of their fiscal situation, well, of course, that's going to start with a nasty slowdown”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 34:28
A halt in government spending would severely hurt equity markets
“if it does come to a crashing halt, then that's very nasty for equity markets”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 35:11
Babylonian sesame-seed prices rose tenfold over several years
“I think sesame seeds went up tenfold over a short few years”
Open the episode · Where Do You Hide From an AI Bubble?Listen at 37:17
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.