What podcasts say about Evan Scrimshaw
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Evan Scrimshaw has said on podcasts
32 statements · 18 positive · 9 negative · 2 mixed · 3 neutral
A Canada–United States trade deal will probably occur around Labor Day.
“the history of the Donald Trump presidency is there will probably be a deal sometime Labor Day.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 5:41
Without Trump’s intervention, Canadian conservatives would have won a larger landslide.
“there would have been a landslide bigger than Obama in 2008 for the conservatives if Donald Trump didn't gift the liberals the last election.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 6:10
A prior trade deal could have exchanged broad tariffs for relief from sectoral tariffs.
“the deal that we could have signed a year ago would have been agreeing to across the board tariffs for some relief on sectoral tariffs.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 7:36
The United States has substantially reduced its demands in the trade negotiations.
“the American ask is down significantly.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 11:14
Glenn Youngkin likely would have lost without early campaign spending.
“if Youngkin hadn't spent that money, he probably loses by two”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 16:57
Ken Paxton’s delayed campaigning has already caused lasting electoral damage.
“the damage has been done. The damage you're taking three months off has been done.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 22:04
A serious Republican Texas defense requires spending at least $100 million.
“if you're going to do this, it needs to be a nine-figure buy.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 26:54
Both governments should avoid escalation in the Canada trade dispute.
“it makes the most sense for everyone to not be dumb.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 28:25
Alberta’s proposed referendum primarily serves the premier’s party-management needs.
“it's party management dressed up as a referendum.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 31:23
Evan favors a Democratic Senate-only midterm win scenario.
“I want to believe it's a win in DEM only. Like, that is where I feel the most comfortable with this year”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 50:30
Current polling implies five Democratic Senate gains and no Democratic losses.
“right now there are five Democratic flips and no Democratic losses if you just believe the polls.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 51:53
Democrats could gain 20 House seats while winning only one Senate seat.
“there's a universe where Democrats win 20 seats in the House and win one sentence.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 57:27
Michigan Democrats should clearly either support or distance themselves from Hassan Piker.
“Either stand by him or say, oh, I have no, I don't, don't say I have no current plans to campaign with him in the general. Either say, I appreciate the work that Hassan Piker has done. He is a valuable member of the coalition. I don't agree with him on everything, but I'm focused on the issues that matter to Michiganders.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 58:58
Jon Ossoff will probably win Georgia narrowly under current conditions.
“with the environment, Ossoff probably wins narrowly, like, very narrowly.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:06:54
The current political environment makes an Ossoff loss to Brian Kemp unlikely.
“the environment is too blue, I think, for Ossoff to lose that to Kemp”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:07:24
Historical Senate polling comparisons require accounting for distinct cycle-specific contexts.
“you are throwing in four years, three of which have legitimate context specific years, plus Brett Kavanaugh in 2018.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:10:17
Patrick Ruffini’s regression is technically correct but politically uninformative.
“it is entirely factually accurate. Everything that Rafini has put out is his regression is correct. It is also completely valueless.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:11:39
Summer polling’s Democratic tilt may reflect reality but has little predictive value.
“the, like, oh, the polls in the summer are always good for Democrats that has been an accurate reflection of reality and has basically, in my opinion, no predictive value moving forward.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:13:33
The Democratic Party has shifted radically between 2004 and 2024.
“the Democratic party of 2004 and the Democratic party of 2016 let alone the Democratic party of 2024 are radically different parties.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:18:09
Greg Abbott will win Collin and Denton counties and may win Tarrant County.
“Craig Abbott is going to win. Craig Abbott is going to easily win Colin Denton. Hell, he might even win Tarrant.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:22:20
John Cornyn would currently lead the Texas Senate race by four points.
“if John Cornyn won, he'd be leading by four right now.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:23:34
Evan’s NFL model favors Seattle and Jacksonville while disfavoring the Rams and Denver.
“I'm big on Seattle. I think I'm down a little bit on the Rams. I'm definitely down on Denver. Big on Jacksonville.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:25:33
The Chicago Bears could win their division and perform well.
“The Bears, I think, is one of my hottest takes because I actually believe they're going to be fine and they could very easily win the division”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:27:05
Caleb Williams will improve substantially this season.
“Caleb Williams is going to be a lot better this year.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:27:26
The Los Angeles Chargers and Seattle Seahawks will reach the Super Bowl.
“Chargers, Seahawks, Super Bowl.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:29:52
Denver will not be good this season.
“That team was fraudulent when it was happening. They're certainly not going to be good.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:29:59
The New England Patriots will win 11 games, fewer than last season.
“So, 11 wins. It's a significant regression from last year.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:30:18
Evan strongly disfavors the Baltimore Ravens this season.
“I am extremely out on this team.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:33:42
Aaron Rodgers is more likely to become a coach than a political candidate.
“coach because I think he's going to think about running for office he's going to take the meetings that he would need to take to run for office realize that everyone in politics like that the reason that he hates most people in politics is because of the nature of politics and then just go be like, just going to be like a god of an offensive coordinator.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:37:25
Aaron Rodgers’s intelligence would make him an excellent coach.
“I think his intelligence will make him a great coach.”
Open the episode · Trade War with Canada, Explained! (with Evan Scrimshaw)Listen at 1:38:30
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.