What podcasts say about Luke Gromen
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Luke Gromen has said on podcasts
24 statements · 6 positive · 15 negative · 3 mixed
True interest expense exceeding receipts implies printing or default scenarios.
“you're already into a print or default type of scenario”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 8:40
The United States owes substantial obligations in non-printable forms of currency.
“the United States owes a substantial portion of its obligations in a currency it cannot print.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 10:14
About 60% of annual U.S. outlays are obligations payable in non-printable goods or services.
“it is fully about 60%. of annual outlays is owed in a currency they can't print”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 10:58
More monetary printing accelerates costs of obligations that cannot be printed.
“the more they print, the faster the stuff they can't print accelerates and runs away from them.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 11:20
The bond-market crisis is roughly in its sixth through eighth inning.
“we're maybe more, I don't know, sixth, seventh, or even eighth inning”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 11:48
During a fiscal crisis, rising interest rates make gold a buy rather than a sell.
“when rates go up, gold is a buy, not a sell”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 15:46
Gold will experience daily moves of $100, $200, or $300.
“you're going to see gold move $100 and $200 and $300 days”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 16:21
Future policy choices will be highly inflationary.
“policy choices, I think it's going to be very inflationary.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 18:08
Future inflation could become very high.
“I think it could be very high inflation.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 18:16
Restricting immigration during inflation would substantially increase wage inflation.
“if you constrain immigration greatly in this country while you inflate, then wage inflation is going to go up a lot.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 19:43
Robots and AI may prevent immigration restrictions from sufficiently raising wages.
“Now we start layering in robots. We start laying in AI. It may not be enough.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 20:17
The 10-year Treasury yield may move toward 8% if hyperscalers finance capex with debt.
“the 10 year is going to want to go towards 8%”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 36:25
Life insurers cannot buy Treasuries at any yield because private-credit losses constrain sales.
“there's no level at which they're a buyer because they're up to their chest in private credit that they cannot sell without taking a catastrophic mark.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 39:07
The economy cannot comfortably sustain near-6% Treasury yields with a strong dollar.
“if DXY is at 98 and we're at 5.87 or 95 and we're at 5.87 or 6 on the 10 year, then no, I don't think the economy, I think that's going to be very problematic.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 43:15
Raising rates transfers substantial income to wealthy baby boomers.
“if you raise rates, you're going to be giving the most self-indulgent generation in American history in at least 100 years, the wealthiest generation in American and world history, free money.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 57:04
The long end of the Treasury curve will rise regardless of Fed policy choice.
“I think it feeds back into the long ends going higher, no matter what they do”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 58:25
Cutting rates to zero would sharply reduce federal interest expense and deficits.
“the easiest way to fix, to lower the deficit politically would be to cut interest rates to zero”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 1:00:27
A dollar-stablecoin shift would force foreign holders to sell Treasuries and stocks.
“you will force them to sell treasuries and stocks until their hands bleed.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 1:03:42
A dollar-stablecoin shift could cause a stock-market crash.
“you are going to have the stock market crash.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 1:04:40
A gold-backed yuan alternative has extremely high probability.
“Extremely high.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 1:07:14
Bessent’s goal of attracting $3 trillion through stablecoins is unrealistic.
“in terms of some of the things that Besson has laid out of, hey, $3 trillion by X day, I think it's a pipe dream.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 1:09:04
AI investment and activity will probably continue as earnings improve.
“AI is probably going to continue given the earnings side.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 1:28:07
Investors should be very cautious about leverage.
“be very careful with your leverage.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 1:46:34
Average investors should consider broad scenarios and maintain low leverage.
“Keep your Overton window wide open. Keep your leverage low is what I would say for the average investor.”
Open the episode · Luke Gromen & Darius Dale: How Close To The End Are We?Listen at 1:46:51
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.