What podcasts say about Mike Murphy
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Mike Murphy has said on podcasts
57 statements · 26 positive · 19 negative · 4 mixed · 8 neutral
Democrats are viewed favorably and Republican nominees unfavorably in five Republican states.
“in every one of those states, the Democrats' favorability is positive. And in every one of those states, the Republican nominee... favorability is negative.”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 16:59
Turnout will be a major determinant of the election outcome.
“turnout is going to have a lot to it”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 26:00
Rural voters may support Republicans by less than an 80–20 margin.
“The rural thing does not look like 80-20 this year, given diesel or fertilizer.”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 26:34
Jon Ossoff will boost other Democratic candidates in Georgia.
“Ossoff is going to have coattails.”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 29:33
Economic pain makes it difficult for culture-war issues to dominate voter concerns.
“I think it's hard to shift people's concern in a massive way to kind of culture war when they are feeling so much economic pain.”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 33:45
Hispanic voters have returned to roughly two-thirds Democratic support.
“Hispanic voters have basically snapped back to where they traditionally had been, about two-thirds Democrat”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 42:43
The midterm election will function as a referendum on the governing party.
“this is a referendum on the party in power.”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 44:38
The 2028 election will focus on America’s post-Trump future.
“the 2028 election is going to be about the future of America after Trump.”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 44:58
Voters will prefer a change-oriented candidate in 2028.
“the country is going to want someone who's going to vote for change, not the status quo”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 45:04
Voters generally choose a corrective alternative rather than replicate the current leadership.
“people choose the remedy to what they have not not the replica”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 47:26
The country has shifted left on healthcare and several economic issues.
“the country has moved to the left on. Health care issues has moved to the left on a number of economic issues”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 52:27
Polls will underestimate the college-educated share of the midterm electorate.
“I suspect we're going to underestimate the percent of the electorate that are college-educated voters in this midterm.”
Open the episode · Wave Watch (with Doug Sosnik and Ron Brownstein)Listen at 1:08:14
The political environment will worsen before the November election.
“the environment is going to get worse between now and November, not better.”
Open the episode · For Whom the Poll Tolls (with John Anzalone and David Plouffe)Listen at 6:35
Trump won Latino support by emphasizing pocketbook economics.
“Trump won that economic money in your pocket argument last time and he won the vote with it.”
Open the episode · For Whom the Poll Tolls (with John Anzalone and David Plouffe)Listen at 26:24
Adam Hamilton will win the Kansas Senate race.
“I actually think Hamilton is going to win”
Open the episode · For Whom the Poll Tolls (with John Anzalone and David Plouffe)Listen at 36:00
Democrats are more likely than not to win Senate control.
“I think it's more likely than not.”
Open the episode · For Whom the Poll Tolls (with John Anzalone and David Plouffe)Listen at 45:37
El-Sayed will defeat Rogers in Michigan.
“I would put money now on El Saeed for all his problems against Rogers.”
Open the episode · For Whom the Poll Tolls (with John Anzalone and David Plouffe)Listen at 49:11
The field of 2028 candidates will outperform J.D. Vance.
“I'd bet the field against him.”
Open the episode · For Whom the Poll Tolls (with John Anzalone and David Plouffe)Listen at 1:00:59
James Tallarico is likely to win the Texas Senate race.
“My gut is that Tellurico is going to prevail.”
Open the episode · Pressing His Luck (with Whit Ayers)Listen at 34:49
Trump attracts voters who do not necessarily vote for other Republicans.
“History suggests people come out to vote for Trump and they don't come out to vote for other Republicans”
Open the episode · Pressing His Luck (with Whit Ayers)Listen at 36:40
Houthi actions could close the Red Sea and drive diesel to $10.
“they look like they're close to closing the Red Sea, which get ready for $10 diesel.”
Open the episode · Pressing His Luck (with Whit Ayers)Listen at 44:37
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez would likely consolidate the progressive primary lane.
“I think she'd probably consolidate whatever the progressive lane is.”
Open the episode · Pressing His Luck (with Whit Ayers)Listen at 57:56
The 2028 Republican presidential race is more open than commonly believed.
“I agree. I think it's a lot more wide open than people think right now.”
Open the episode · Pressing His Luck (with Whit Ayers)Listen at 1:04:10
Mike Murphy judges the Republican convention strategy ineffective.
“So I don't think it's a good strategy.”
Open the episode · Above the Fold (with Julie Pace)Listen at 5:04
Mike Murphy estimates an 80% chance the convention protest was staged.
“I think there's a 20% chance it was real. Eighty percent, I'm with the Chicago theory. It's a fix.”
Open the episode · Above the Fold (with Julie Pace)Listen at 13:05
Mike Murphy says advertising struggles against voters’ desire to punish Trump economically.
“Hard to do when there's a strong, natural magnetic field of something people want to do, which in this election is scream at Trump on the economic stuff.”
Open the episode · Above the Fold (with Julie Pace)Listen at 22:31
Mike Murphy predicts James Talarico will become highly prominent in Texas politics.
“Tallarico is going to get really famous, already is in Texas.”
Open the episode · Above the Fold (with Julie Pace)Listen at 28:42
Mike Murphy judges Trump’s $5,000 payment proposal desperate.
“And it stinks of desperation.”
Open the episode · Above the Fold (with Julie Pace)Listen at 32:49
Mike Murphy says Trump’s perceived unseriousness weakens his promises’ political impact.
“he has no weight of seriousness to him, which means these things don't have a grip.”
Open the episode · Above the Fold (with Julie Pace)Listen at 35:12
Mike Murphy says Trump performs better attacking from outside office than governing.
“He's always better on the outside attacking in. When he's in office, he loses elections.”
Open the episode · Above the Fold (with Julie Pace)Listen at 36:27
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.