What podcasts say about Patrick Ceresna
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Patrick Ceresna has said on podcasts
50 statements · 18 positive · 26 negative · 6 neutral
Continued bond-market pressure could eventually reprice equities lower.
“eventually could force a repricing of equity prices”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 52:45
A short-term NVIDIA correction could trigger broader S&P 500 selling.
“if, let's say, NVIDIA began a market correction on the short term, could that be all that the S&P needed in order to hit one of these triggers and begin selling right now?”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 55:22
The euro could weaken toward 1.10 or 1.08.
“the euro has cleared almost all the major uh support lines and is at this point looks like it has room to weaken even down to 110 or 108”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 56:57
Dollar strength is currently the dominant currency-market trend.
“the dollar is strengthening and it is the path of least resistance”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 57:19
No immediate catalyst appears likely to reverse dollar strength.
“There doesn't seem to be any immediate catalyst for this to reverse.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 57:40
Escalation near the Strait of Hormuz would push oil prices higher.
“if there is any escalation over there, that oil does need to go higher”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 58:33
Rising real rates and dollar funding stress typically pressure gold.
“this is a period where gold Gold typically has headwinds”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 1:00:54
Higher oil could contribute to a short-term gold decline below $4,000.
“may even create a short-term breakdown below 4,000 in a corrective mode”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 1:01:35
A corrective gold decline would create a long-term buying opportunity.
“Overall, that will become a long-term buying opportunity.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 1:01:40
A colder U.S. winter forecast could trigger a substantial natural-gas short squeeze.
“If we see that in any way there is some sort of a short-term disruption based upon the continued development of a colder winter forecast, then suddenly we could see a lot of these shorts get squeezed and causing a substantial rally.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #553 Brent Johnson: Disparate HousewivesListen at 1:02:46
Buying near-term S&P 500 downside protection offers an attractive trade-off.
“carrying reasonably priced protection through the calendar looks like an attractive trade-off.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The NoiseListen at 52:14
The median S&P 500 stock is 16% below its 52-week high.
“the median stock in the S&P 500 is 16% off of its 52-week highs.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The NoiseListen at 56:25
Only 20% of S&P 500 stocks remain above their 50-day moving average.
“It just hit 20%, which basically means four out of five stocks in the S&P 500 have broken trend on the downside.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The NoiseListen at 56:40
The euro could decline to 1.10 or 1.08 against the dollar.
“the euro could head down to 110 or even 108”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The NoiseListen at 1:00:17
Crude oil has retraced approximately half of its prior advance.
“we've now mean reverted, giving back half of those gains.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The NoiseListen at 1:00:56
Gold is likely to retest the 4,000 price level.
“It will be very likely that we can even retest the 4,000 level”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The NoiseListen at 1:02:20
Gold will trade sideways and consolidate into the elections.
“I'm anticipating into the elections that gold will be far more range. inchbound and consolidate in the weeks to come.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The NoiseListen at 1:03:24
Speculative positioning has shifted sharply toward long Nasdaq exposure.
“there has been a huge positioning pivot to the long side of the nasdaq”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The NoiseListen at 1:04:28
Patrick recommends a USO January 2027 bull call spread.
“The structure is a bull call spread between the $150 to $180 strikes.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 47:26
The S&P 500 could rise to 8,000–8,200 after breaking its highs.
“if it breaks the 52-week highs here, this could easily head to 8,000 to 8,200 on the upside.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 52:13
Weak market breadth could precede a 10% equity correction.
“we're in the midst of some sort of 10% correction going into the midterms.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 54:02
The euro could decline toward 1.08–1.10 against the dollar.
“if the euro is destined to head down to this, let's say 108 to 110 level on the downside”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 58:16
Oil could rise to $110–$120 per barrel.
“I think it's completely on the table in light of the current situation.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 1:00:05
Gold’s recent rally may prove to be a false start.
“this could be a false start on the gold's rally.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 1:03:02
Copper’s bullish trend remains in control despite crowded positioning.
“you have to respect that the bulls remain in control of the copper market.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 1:04:57
URA below 40 would signal a continuing distribution cycle.
“if we see any breakdown below 40, that leaves a distribution cycle in play”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 1:06:17
A stronger U.S. dollar could disrupt the yen bullish thesis.
“The question is, is the U.S. dollar rally going to now be a disruptor in this yen bull thesis?”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #551 Michael Every: Decoding The Global Geopolitical PuzzleListen at 1:09:44
The TLT long strangle needs roughly a 7% move to break even at expiration.
“If held to expiration, we would need roughly a 7% move either way to break even.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #550 Harley Bassman: In FED We TrustListen at 49:00
Markets correctly priced the Fed’s hawkish rate decision.
“the market priced it right.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #550 Harley Bassman: In FED We TrustListen at 50:58
The Federal Reserve’s credibility problem remains unresolved.
“the credibility of the Fed is still a concern that is not resolved.”
Open the episode · MacroVoices #550 Harley Bassman: In FED We TrustListen at 51:34
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.