What podcasts say about Paul Donovan
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Paul Donovan has said on podcasts
22 statements · 6 positive · 12 negative · 1 mixed · 3 neutral
US employment data is frequently revised and unreliable in real time
“The numbers showed that data is frequently revised and not to be trusted in real time.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 0:20
The employment report indicates little risk of second-round inflation effects
“The employment report emphasises that there is little chance of second round inflation effects emerging”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 0:56
US real wage growth is likely close to zero
“Wage growth, after adjusting for inflation, is likely close to zero.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 1:08
US consumers can reduce savings to finance consumption
“The US consumer has the ability to cut back on savings to finance consumption”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 1:23
US cost pressures will persist, but demand will not collapse soon
“That suggests that while cost pressures will not abate in the United States, demand is not going to fall off the edge of a cliff quite yet.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 1:34
US consumption turns sharply weaker when savings cannot fall further
“US consumers are either unwilling, or unable to reduce their savings further.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 1:47
Another US rate hike would not affect inflation or growth
“This is still an unnecessary hike that will not affect inflation or growth”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 2:22
Markets will likely position for Bolsonaro to win Brazil’s runoff
“Markets are likely to position for a Bolsonaro victory”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 2:59
Brazil’s election reinforces the global anti-incumbent political trend
“the anti-incumbent trend of global politics is somewhat reinforced.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 3:15
France has a relatively favorable debt-to-wealth ratio versus the United States
“France's debt-to-wealth ratio remains relatively favourable, especially when compared to countries like the United States”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 3:30
French fiscal narratives may be contributing to euro weakness
“The narrative might be affecting the euro, which has weakened”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 3:48
Euro value is driven by Europeans selling currency to invest overseas
“Because the euro area is a current account surplus area, the value of the euro is driven by the willingness of Europeans to sell their currency and invest overseas”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'Listen at 3:56
US real inflation-adjusted earnings are currently poor.
“real inflation-adjusted earnings so poor”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 1:01
The US labor share has continued falling and is historically extremely low.
“the labour share of the economy in the States has continued to fall and is, historically, at extremely low levels.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 1:26
The declining wage share indicates that the US labor market is not healthy.
“Nonetheless, so significant a decline in the wage share of the economy hardly signals a healthy labour market.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 1:57
Moderate wage growth is a helpful signal for future inflation and cost trends.
“The moderate wage growth is, of course, a helpful signal for future inflation and cost trends”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 2:05
Inconsistent labor indicators make the US labor-market picture less reliable.
“the inconsistency raises concerns about how reliable a picture of the US labor market investors and policymakers are actually getting.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 2:20
Some inflation changes reflect withdrawn government price suppression rather than market forces.
“At least some of the changes in inflation are therefore not really about market forces, but simply the government no longer suppressing prices”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 2:44
European energy prices were more significant than initially expected in the past month.
“it seems as if energy prices have been more significant in many parts of Europe in the past month than had originally been expected.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 3:02
Dutch inflation was lower than consensus expectations.
“The Dutch inflation numbers were, however, lower than consensus.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 3:11
Ignoring legal rules has resulted in more attacks on civilian targets.
“this has resulted in an increase in attacks on civilian targets.”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 3:32
Ukraine is unlikely to stop attacking Russian energy infrastructure.
“This belief presumably makes it unlikely that Ukraine will give up attacks on Russian energy infrastructure”
Open the episode · UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The labor market anomaly'Listen at 3:37
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.