What podcasts say about Warren Pies
Every statement, with the speaker, the exact quote and the moment it was said.
What Warren Pies has said on podcasts
27 statements · 10 positive · 9 negative · 2 mixed · 6 neutral
Warren Pies downgraded stocks after the market reached approximately 7,800.
“we downgraded stocks”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 1:23
Warren Pies’s firm neutralized its stock positioning after remaining overweight through summer.
“we've neutralized that now”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 2:16
The firm expected 2026 to be an earnings-explosion year.
“we expected this to be an earnings explosion year”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 3:27
Warren Pies expects the midterm elections to produce a Democratic wave.
“the midterm elections are going to be a blue wave, maybe a blue tsunami”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 6:14
Warren Pies recommends reducing portfolio risk during the current macro-risk window.
“it's a time to take down risk”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 6:34
The firm replaced reduced stock and commodity exposure with cash.
“We put it all in cash.”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 6:58
Warren Pies views August 15 through October 15 as an unfavorable market window.
“we highlighted the window from August 15th to October 15th as a period where I don't like the seasonals and I don't like the structure”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 7:57
Warren Pies views the September Fed meeting as roughly evenly split on a hike.
“That's really a coin flip.”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 8:54
Warren Pies maintains that the September Fed meeting remains a coin flip on a hike.
“our argument has been this whole time that this is a coin flip meeting”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 9:24
Warren Pies judges recent economic data less dovish than markets interpreted it.
“it has not... been nearly as dovish as the market's reaction to it”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 9:40
Warren Pies’s model forecasts core PCE inflation at 0.28% month over month.
“We expect it to come in at 0.28 month over month.”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 10:05
Warren Pies believes the Fed’s tolerance for overlooking temporary inflation is diminishing.
“the tolerance for looking through things, even things that are appropriate to look through at the Fed is wearing thin”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 10:49
Warren Pies says the unemployment-rate decline could reverse.
“it could very well mean revert”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 14:19
Warren Pies thinks Fed officials could push for a September rate hike.
“I think absolutely.”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 15:15
Warren Pies sees broadening technology leadership as the ideal path for the bull market.
“my ideal mechanism for this bull market continuing higher is tech leadership broadening”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 27:40
Warren Pies says technology must regain leadership for the market to advance.
“You'll ultimately need to see tech reassert its leadership.”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 28:25
Without renewed technology leadership, Warren Pies sees limited market upside.
“Otherwise, I don't think the market has a ton of upside.”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 28:29
Warren Pies’s firm strongly believes in artificial intelligence technology.
“we are big time AI believers”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 29:24
Warren Pies reports that tracked Blackwell B200 availability remains zero.
“Blackwell B200 availability is still at zero from what we track”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 33:43
Warren Pies judges the rise in H200 GPU availability as benign.
“this is a benign rise”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 34:24
Warren Pies says hyperscalers and semiconductors need to rise together for the next market leg.
“you need them both to go up together”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 36:59
Warren Pies assesses data centers as an increasingly important political issue.
“data centers have become a political issue at this point in time”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 39:48
Warren Pies believes this earnings season largely resolved doubts about data-center ROI.
“the data center roi question was basically solved this earning season”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 40:29
Warren Pies expects an Anthropic listing to pressure software and benefit semiconductors and hardware.
“it'll weigh on on software and be positive for semis and hardware”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 53:54
Warren Pies expects software to bear the initial pressure during AI IPO periods.
“the real pain point will be software initially during these IPO periods”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 54:56
Warren Pies recommends constructing investment baskets differently from standard GICS sectors.
“you really got to build the basket different from the GICS sectors”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 59:08
Warren Pies says a macro shock or earnings catalyst is needed to end the market’s grind higher.
“you need something to break that”
Open the episode · Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren PiesListen at 1:01:06
Statements are attributed to the speaker as said on the episode and reflect their view at the time, not PodLume's. They are not advice.