Markets · 2026 midterms

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

22%
closes Nov 4, 2026

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 21
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Mike Murphy · The Bulwark Daily

    no

    “People are going to kill the billionaire tax. That's going to lose.”

    Oct 21, 2026 · Episode

  • Jon Quast · Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

    no

    “it's not happening until next election cycle at the earliest, as far as I'm concerned. So this is not something that is imminent.”

    Oct 7, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.