Markets · Geopolitics & war

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

64%
closes Nov 30, 2026

Experts with a view

1
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 22
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Ian Marlow · Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend

    yes

    “It looks like they'll be at a technical level between lower-level officials discussing things like security matters, questions about where front lines are going to be drawn, issues such as air defenses.”

    Oct 22, 2026 · Episode

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