Markets · Oil, gas & energy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

12%
closes Jan 1, 2027

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 16
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Saagar Enjeti · Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

    no

    “If he means that two out of every 10 ships going through are getting hit, that means that at some point they're going to run out of ships.”

    Oct 16, 2026 · Episode

  • Ole Hansen · Saxo Market Call

    no

    “it doesn't seem like that's going to happen anytime soon”

    Oct 16, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.