Markets · Geopolitics & war

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

14%
closes Jan 1, 2027

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 13
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Ryan McBeth · Politics Politics Politics

    yes

    “I think that the most likely off-ramp would be Iran coming to some sort of deal where they say, you know what? We're going to let weapons inspectors in.”

    Oct 13, 2026 · Episode

  • John Ashbrook · Ruthless Variety Program

    no

    “they're never coming to a deal. They're just never going to do it because they are inherently untrustworthy partners.”

    Oct 6, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.