Markets · Fed, rates & bonds

US recession by end of 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

8%
closes Jan 31, 2027

Experts with a view

10
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 21
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Paul Hsiao · UBS On-Air: Market Moves

    no

    “the economy, we think, will moderately decline going into Q4, but not necessarily slow down where it will cause a recession.”

    Oct 21, 2026 · Episode

  • Daveed Rosenberg · The Julia La Roche Show

    yes

    “I think the recession odds are closer above 50-50”

    Oct 20, 2026 · Episode

8 more expert calls on this market

Signals Pro shows every expert's current call on every market: who says yes, who says no, their words and the episode they said it in.

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PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.