Markets · AI labs & IPOs

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

21%
closes Jan 1, 2027

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 13
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Kristy Loke · Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

    yes

    “The Chinese catch-up is happening. It's very real.”

    Oct 13, 2026 · Episode

  • Gary Marcus · The Real Eisman Playbook

    yes

    “The Chinese models will match it in a month or three months or whatever it is.”

    Oct 12, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.