Markets · AI labs & IPOs

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

60%
closes Jan 1, 2028

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Sep 28
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Peter Diamandis · Moonshots with Peter Diamandis

    yes

    “$6.5 billion quarterly revenue run rate, 42% of the AI coding market, a $35 billion cloud deal, NVIDIA-backed infrastructure, and a mega IPO approaching at $2 trillion or more.”

    Sep 28, 2026 · Episode

  • Chamath Palihapitiya · All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

    no

    “it's probably going to clear at a much lower price than anybody thinks.”

    Sep 26, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.