Markets · 2026 midterms

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

26%
closes Nov 4, 2026

Experts with a view

4
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 21
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Tim Miller · The Bulwark Daily

    no

    “she's the favorite to me.”

    Oct 21, 2026 · Episode

  • Dan Pfeiffer · Pod Save America

    no

    “what he's delivering there is not— I don't think it is helpful to Ashley Hinson or Dan Sullivan in any way, shape, or form.”

    Oct 2, 2026 · Episode

2 more expert calls on this market

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PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.