Markets · 2028 presidential race

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

44%
closes Nov 8, 2028

Experts with a view

4
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 21
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Mike Murphy · The Bulwark Daily

    no

    “I think most of the Pauls smell death on J.D. Vance”

    Oct 21, 2026 · Episode

  • George Pollack · Bloomberg Surveillance

    yes

    “this race is made— made for J.D. Vance to become the next nominee.”

    Oct 21, 2026 · Episode

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Signals Pro shows every expert's current call on every market: who says yes, who says no, their words and the episode they said it in.

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PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.