Markets · Elections abroad

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

38%
closes Apr 19, 2027

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 19
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Paul Donovan · UBS On-Air: Market Moves

    no

    “or there might be a weakening of support for the far left.”

    Oct 19, 2026 · Episode

  • Shahin Vallée · Odd Lots

    yes

    “the most likely runoff is a runoff between Marine Le Pen on one hand and Jean-Luc Mélenchon on the other.”

    Oct 16, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.