Markets · AI labs & IPOs

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

96%
closes Jan 1, 2027

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 8
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Alex Kantrowitz · Closing Bell

    yes

    “We're going to see the Anthropic IPO within the next couple of weeks, most likely OpenAI next year.”

    Oct 8, 2026 · Episode

  • Justin Young · Politics Politics Politics

    yes

    “the money for the person that is even to guide it responsibly like you know and because by the time that we get to 28 or that 28 cycle You know, we thought we were going to have two IPOs this year. It looks like we may have one IPO. We may get the Anthropic IPO and that the OpenAI IPO is probably going to be pushed till next year.”

    Oct 6, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.