Markets · US stock market

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

50%
closes Dec 31, 2026

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 13
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Lori Calvasina · Bloomberg Surveillance

    yes

    “we've been looking for a 5% to 10% drawdown, what we call a tier one, you know, sort of pullback in the S&P 500”

    Oct 13, 2026 · Episode

  • Ozan Tarman · Bloomberg Surveillance

    yes

    “I think we see 8,200 before 7,400.”

    Oct 6, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.