Markets · 2026 midterms

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

closes Nov 4, 2026

Experts with a view

last 30 days

Yes or no

Pro

See how the experts split →

Latest call

Oct 21

as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

Mike Murphy · The Bulwark Daily
no
“because he's going to win”
Oct 21, 2026 · Episode
Justin Young · Politics Politics Politics
no
“Hilton has no shot.”
Oct 15, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.