Markets · Fed, rates & bonds

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

25%
closes Jan 1, 2027

Experts with a view

8
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 21
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • David Bahnsen · Trader Talk

    no

    “I think the long end is going to start to come down.”

    Oct 21, 2026 · Episode

  • Jason Draho · UBS On-Air: Market Moves

    no

    “the 10-year sort of peaked around 5.3%, 5.4% intraday. It has drifted a little bit lower. So maybe it's in a range where it's going to trade around 5.2% as a baseline until, again, the macro conditions change fundamentally.”

    Oct 19, 2026 · Episode

6 more expert calls on this market

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