Markets · 2026 midterms

Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

62%
closes Nov 4, 2026

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 19
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Nathaniel Rakich · GD POLITICS

    yes

    “the nightmare scenario is I think that like it comes down to one seat that is very close or Alaska”

    Oct 19, 2026 · Episode

  • Mary Peltola · The Bulwark Daily

    yes

    “This really is a toss-up. This is a dead heat”

    Sep 24, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.