Markets · 2026 midterms

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

89%
closes Nov 4, 2026

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 9
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Adam Carlson · The Bulwark Daily

    yes

    “Rob Sand is likely going to win that governor's race.”

    Oct 9, 2026 · Episode

  • Tim Miller · The Bulwark Daily

    no

    “Iowa, I do think it's a tough ask of the people of Iowa to vote for a Democratic senator and governor”

    Oct 5, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.