Markets · 2026 midterms

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

34%
closes Nov 4, 2026

Experts with a view

4
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 13
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Mike Nelson · The Dispatch Podcast

    yes

    “maybe you actually see Texas go blue and maybe even some of the polls are showing that Abbott is in trouble. That would be a massive earthquake.”

    Oct 13, 2026 · Episode

  • Bill Kristol · The Bulwark Daily

    yes

    “I think, I think Paximili is going to lose. And I think Abbott may lose as well.”

    Oct 12, 2026 · Episode

2 more expert calls on this market

Signals Pro shows every expert's current call on every market: who says yes, who says no, their words and the episode they said it in.

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PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.