Markets · Fed, rates & bonds

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

71%
closes Dec 9, 2026

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 7
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Dan Curtis · UBS On-Air: Market Moves

    yes

    “we're expecting the Fed to remain on hold at the next meeting and then likely resume with at least one more hike in December”

    Oct 7, 2026 · Episode

  • Jeffrey Gundlach · UBS On-Air: Market Moves

    yes

    “So the Fed's probably going to raise rates a couple more times”

    Sep 25, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.