Markets · 2026 midterms

Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

77%
closes Nov 4, 2026

Experts with a view

7
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 22
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Comfortably Smug · Ruthless Variety Program

    yes

    “it's apparently toss-up right now in Michigan. Mm-hmm. It's a toss-up in Michigan.”

    Oct 22, 2026 · Episode

  • Josh Holmes · Ruthless Variety Program

    yes

    “this is in a bad environment, that is a 7 or 8 point loss. It is not right now. It is a literally nip and tuck day-to-day proposition.”

    Oct 22, 2026 · Episode

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PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.