Markets · 2026 midterms

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

12%
closes Nov 3, 2026

Experts with a view

3
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 20
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Aaron Parnas · Prof G Markets

    yes

    “I predict a 50-50 split with Republicans keeping the United States Senate”

    Oct 20, 2026 · Episode

  • Tom Bevan · The Megyn Kelly Show

    yes

    “best case scenario in the Senate is 50 50 and it might get worse than that.”

    Oct 14, 2026 · Episode

1 more expert call on this market

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PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.