Markets · 2026 midterms

Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

68%
closes Nov 4, 2026

Experts with a view

4
last 30 days

Yes or no

Pro
See how the experts split →

Latest call

Oct 21
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Mike Murphy · The Bulwark Daily

    yes

    “Texas has moved.”

    Oct 21, 2026 · Episode

  • Justin Young · Politics Politics Politics

    yes

    “I still believe that he will eke it out”

    Oct 20, 2026 · Episode

2 more expert calls on this market

Signals Pro shows every expert's current call on every market: who says yes, who says no, their words and the episode they said it in.

See Pro

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.