Markets · Fed, rates & bonds
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.
Odds of YES
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The experts' calls
Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.
Angelo Kourkafas · Bloomberg Surveillance
yes“Our base case calls for the Fed to... basically hike two more times from here”
Oct 20, 2026 · Episode
Leslie Falcone · UBS On-Air: Market Moves
no“the market is pricing in, in our opinion, a more hawkish Fed path than we are”
Oct 18, 2026 · Episode
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See ProPodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.