Markets · Fed, rates & bonds

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

21%
closes Feb 1, 2027

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 5
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Krishna Guha · The Real Eisman Playbook

    yes

    “we were on track for... Powell to pull off the great escape, get inflation down to target without wrecking the labor market.”

    Oct 5, 2026 · Episode

  • Todd Barlow · The Rules of Investing

    no

    “It does feel like we are late cycle. It does feel like there's recessionary pressures.”

    Sep 30, 2026 · Episode

PodLume Signals is a structured record of opinions expressed on podcasts, attributed to the speaker who voiced them. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and no statement here is verified for accuracy. Outcome verdicts are a mechanical comparison of an instrument's price move against a benchmark over a fixed window and say nothing about future performance. Odds are Polymarket's.